TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12392737
Played Aug 10Finished
Pavel Oplt
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012611117119511
Miroslav Hajek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:14 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timePavel Oplt to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Oplt above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 93 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Pavel Oplt at 57.4%
93 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Oplt 9–6 Miroslav Hajek Miroslav Hajek has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:14What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Oplt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Oplt
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oplt 1619 vs Hajek 1572
Oplt
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oplt 60% vs Hajek 40%
Oplt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oplt 60% vs Hajek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oplt -1 · Hajek -3
Hajek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Oplt) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOplt 1.53 / Hajek 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Oplt)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12392737
Oplt1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 36 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Hajek2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 58 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOplt7wins
AwayHajek3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderOplt leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOplt100%7 of 7
AwayHajek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oplt7Hajek3n = 10Oplt took 7 of 10
S2Oplt5Hajek5n = 10split evenly
S3Oplt5Hajek5n = 10split evenly
S4Oplt4Hajek1n = 5Oplt took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOpltHajekO − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.233.7+3.5per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpltHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 217 vs 363 / 67152.1%54.1%113 / 217 vs 363 / 671Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.640.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpltOplt 1.53/Hajek 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.8%
Oplt · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 7 · 15:15P. Oplt—11119113M. Hajek—861131
LApr 24 · 09:15P. Oplt—111180M. Hajek—1313113
WApr 16 · 07:15P. Oplt—1212113M. Hajek—101070
WMar 30 · 20:48P. Oplt—12134123M. Hajek—101111101
WMar 30 · 17:15P. Oplt—111011113M. Hajek—712951
LMar 3 · 19:30P. Oplt—9780M. Hajek—1111113
WFeb 23 · 19:45P. Oplt—1115113M. Hajek—81370
LNov 25 · 17:45P. Oplt—981161M. Hajek—11119103
WNov 25 · 16:45P. Oplt—1111113M. Hajek—7770
WOct 24 · 06:00P. Oplt—119811143M. Hajek—611117122
P. Oplt10
LSep 7 · 15:00P. Semrad1.911111113P. Oplt1.809890WSep 7 · 13:30L. Smazik2.10101140P. Oplt1.671213113WAug 10 · 20:18D. Marasek2.10711121242P. Oplt1.671171410113LAug 10 · 19:15P. Oplt1.61711561D. Marasek2.2011711113LAug 10 · 17:15P. Oplt1.44101161182A. Pavlik2.63129118113WAug 4 · 20:28A. Pavlik2.1089110P. Oplt1.671111133LAug 4 · 19:15P. Oplt1.6711113962A. Pavlik2.10881111113WAug 4 · 18:15P. Oplt1.67138711113J. Jnr2.10111111462WAug 4 · 17:15P. Oplt1.6112127113D. Marasek2.2010101161LJul 30 · 12:23P. Oplt2.63119911102A. Radkovsky1.44611115123
M. Hajek10
LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113LSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113
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