TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111571
Played Sep 11Finished
Miroslav Hajek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111311113118––
Zdenek Vasatko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:13 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Hajek above · Zdenek Vasatko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 54.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Hajek 12–9 Zdenek Vasatko Zdenek Vasatko has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:13What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hajek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-9 in 21
Hajek
Correct
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hajek 1625 vs Vasatko 1665
Vasatko
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hajek 20% vs Vasatko 60%
Vasatko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hajek 40% vs Vasatko 60%
Vasatko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hajek -2 · Vasatko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 1.73 / Vasatko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Hajek)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13111571
Hajek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 74 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it76% 58 of 76
Vasatko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog54% won 29 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHajek6wins
AwayVasatko4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHajek83.3%5 of 6
AwayVasatko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hajek6Vasatko4n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S2Hajek6Vasatko4n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S3Hajek5Vasatko5n = 10split evenly
S4Hajek4Vasatko1n = 5Hajek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHajekVasatkoH − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.831.9+1.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekVasatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 670 vs 143 / 28654%50%362 / 670 vs 143 / 286Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekHajek 1.73/Vasatko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 12:43M. Hajek—1311113Z. Vasatko—11990
LSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek—116571Z. Vasatko—91111113
WAug 25 · 11:45M. Hajek—11814113Z. Vasatko—9111231
WAug 1 · 13:30M. Hajek—71112113Z. Vasatko—1191041
LMay 20 · 15:15M. Hajek—81171182Z. Vasatko—119113113
WMay 14 · 11:45M. Hajek—11117113Z. Vasatko—451131
WMay 12 · 13:45M. Hajek—1111113Z. Vasatko—7990
WMay 7 · 06:15M. Hajek—1111113Z. Vasatko—6680
LMay 4 · 10:15M. Hajek—9850Z. Vasatko—1111113
LMay 2 · 10:15M. Hajek—9340Z. Vasatko—1111113
M. Hajek10
LSep 11 · 12:13M. Hajek2.25117691P. Oplt1.5761111113LSep 11 · 10:15P. Oplt1.6111511113M. Hajek2.20311451LSep 11 · 09:45P. Semrad1.671111113M. Hajek2.106760WSep 10 · 12:18M. Hajek2.001111113L. Smazik1.737530LSep 10 · 11:45M. Hajek1.831411881L. Kolman1.8316611113LSep 10 · 10:15M. Svitac2.25811911113M. Hajek1.5711911832WSep 10 · 09:45L. Smazik1.53611761M. Hajek2.3811811113LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 11 · 12:44Z. Vasatko1.91111111113P. Semrad1.80913151LSep 11 · 10:45P. Semrad1.7311115113Z. Vasatko2.00281171WSep 11 · 09:15P. Oplt1.8061080Z. Vasatko1.911112113LSep 8 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.7395121162M. Svitac2.001111108113WSep 8 · 11:45Z. Vasatko2.631111113L. Kolman1.449640WSep 8 · 10:15T. Kanka2.38116651Z. Vasatko1.5361111113WSep 8 · 09:45M. Svitac2.00119111052Z. Vasatko1.73311912113LSep 7 · 12:58L. Kolman1.40111111113Z. Vasatko2.75913691LSep 7 · 12:00Z. Vasatko2.004980L. Kolman1.731111113WSep 7 · 10:30M. Svitac1.9131111692Z. Vasatko1.80119811113
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