TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13109700
Played Sep 10Finished
Miroslav Hajek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115113––––
Libor Smazik
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
How it is goingMiroslav Hajek above · Libor Smazik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 48 set 3, 11-3
48 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Hajek 9–13 Libor Smazik Miroslav Hajek has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Hajek beat Smazik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Smazik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smazik form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 2.00 / Smazik 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Smazik)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13109700
Hajek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 44 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Smazik1.73
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite50% won 58 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 45 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHajek5wins
AwaySmazik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHajek80%4 of 5
AwaySmazik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hajek5Smazik5n = 10split evenly
S2Hajek4Smazik6n = 10Smazik took 6 of 10
S3Hajek6Smazik4n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S4Hajek2Smazik3n = 5Smazik took 3 of 5
S5Hajek2Smazik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHajekSmazikH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.133.7−1.6per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekSmazikBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 672 vs 203 / 40353.9%50.4%362 / 672 vs 203 / 403Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmazikHajek 2.00/Smazik 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Smazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 09:45M. Hajek—11811113L. Smazik—611761
LMay 6 · 12:43M. Hajek—5840L. Smazik—1111113
LMay 6 · 11:00M. Hajek—101171162L. Smazik—127115113
LApr 27 · 12:48M. Hajek—11611422L. Smazik—811611113
WApr 27 · 11:45M. Hajek—114115113L. Smazik—91141112
LApr 26 · 09:45M. Hajek—2830L. Smazik—1111113
WApr 25 · 11:15M. Hajek—1111113L. Smazik—9890
WMar 31 · 16:24M. Hajek—911114113L. Smazik—11631152
WMar 31 · 13:45M. Hajek—1111113L. Smazik—4940
LMar 26 · 12:00M. Hajek—7550L. Smazik—1111113
M. Hajek10
LSep 10 · 11:45M. Hajek1.831411881L. Kolman1.8316611113LSep 10 · 10:15M. Svitac2.25811911113M. Hajek1.5711911832WSep 10 · 09:45L. Smazik1.53611761M. Hajek2.3811811113LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371
L. Smazik10
LSep 10 · 11:15M. Svitac2.1013119113L. Smazik1.671181181LSep 10 · 10:45L. Smazik1.83113861L. Kolman1.8361111113LSep 10 · 09:45L. Smazik1.53611761M. Hajek2.3811811113LSep 7 · 16:38D. Marasek1.831115119113L. Smazik1.8351741172LSep 7 · 15:30L. Smazik2.00481191P. Semrad1.7311118113LSep 7 · 14:30L. Smazik1.804630D. Marasek1.911111113LSep 7 · 13:30L. Smazik2.10101140P. Oplt1.671213113LSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113LSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101
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