TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105981
Played Sep 10Finished
Libor Smazik
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116311811611––
Leon Kolman
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLeon Kolman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLibor Smazik above · Leon Kolman below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 67 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Leon Kolman at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Libor Smazik 0–1 Leon Kolman Libor Smazik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:15What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kolman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Smazik 1502 vs Kolman 1604
Kolman
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Smazik 0% vs Kolman 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Smazik 10% vs Kolman 30%
Kolman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Smazik -5 · Kolman -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolman form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmazik 1.83 / Kolman 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolman)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105981
Smazik1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Kolman1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSmazik0wins
AwayKolman1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKolman leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSmazikKolmanS − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match52.050.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmazikKolmanBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 401 vs 364 / 68750.6%53%203 / 401 vs 364 / 687Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.140.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolmanSmazik 1.83/Kolman 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 15 · 11:45L. Smazik—121111992L. Kolman—146811113
L. Smazik10
LSep 10 · 11:15M. Svitac2.1013119113L. Smazik1.671181181LSep 10 · 09:45L. Smazik1.53611761M. Hajek2.3811811113LSep 7 · 16:38D. Marasek1.831115119113L. Smazik1.8351741172LSep 7 · 15:30L. Smazik2.00481191P. Semrad1.7311118113LSep 7 · 14:30L. Smazik1.804630D. Marasek1.911111113LSep 7 · 13:30L. Smazik2.10101140P. Oplt1.671213113LSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113LSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101LSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351
L. Kolman10
WSep 10 · 11:45M. Hajek1.831411881L. Kolman1.8316611113LSep 10 · 09:15M. Svitac1.731111113L. Kolman2.009540LSep 9 · 16:38L. Kolman1.85311561T. Hucko1.8511811113LSep 9 · 16:00P. Hala1.8317911113L. Kolman1.831511351LSep 9 · 15:00T. Hucko1.73158116143L. Kolman2.001311711122LSep 9 · 13:30P. Provaznik2.25912611113L. Kolman1.57111011732LSep 8 · 12:14L. Kolman1.5051080T. Kanka2.501112113LSep 8 · 11:45Z. Vasatko2.631111113L. Kolman1.449640LSep 8 · 10:45M. Svitac1.7381111113L. Kolman2.00119791WSep 8 · 09:15T. Kanka2.50491111102L. Kolman1.50111175123
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