Miroslav Hajek vs Pavel Oplt 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13114842

Played Sep 11Finished

Miroslav Hajek

Home

2.25

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

116711611911––

Pavel Oplt

Away

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingMiroslav Hajek above · Pavel Oplt below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 72 set 4, 9-11

72 points played in total.

H2H Miroslav Hajek 7–10 Pavel Oplt Miroslav Hajek has won 7 of their 17 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Oplt beat Hajek 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Oplt)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Oplt form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHajek 2.25 / Oplt 1.57

Signal prob.41% / 59%

Edge (Oplt)+0.4pp

Setka Cup · #13114842

Hajek2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog47% won 45 of 95

Down 0–1, comes back26% 14 of 54

Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29

Oplt1.57

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite54% won 30 of 56

Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13

Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeHajek4wins

AwayOplt6wins

1 of 10 to a deciderOplt leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeHajek100%4 of 4

AwayOplt100%6 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Hajek4Oplt6n = 10Oplt took 6 of 10

S2Hajek6Oplt4n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10

S3Hajek4Oplt6n = 10Oplt took 6 of 10

S4Hajek1Oplt5n = 6Oplt took 5 of 6

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricHajekOpltH − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.236.7−2.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricHajekOpltBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 671 vs 111 / 20754.1%53.6%363 / 671 vs 111 / 207Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Oplt

Hajek 2.25/Oplt 1.57

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59.3%

Oplt · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Oplt won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 11 · 10:15M. Hajek—311451P. Oplt—11511113

WAug 10 · 18:15M. Hajek—121179113P. Oplt—106111152

LMay 7 · 15:15M. Hajek—861131P. Oplt—11119113

WApr 24 · 09:15M. Hajek—1313113P. Oplt—111180

LApr 16 · 07:15M. Hajek—101070P. Oplt—1212113

LMar 30 · 20:48M. Hajek—101111101P. Oplt—12134123

LMar 30 · 17:15M. Hajek—712951P. Oplt—111011113

WMar 3 · 19:30M. Hajek—1111113P. Oplt—9780

LFeb 23 · 19:45M. Hajek—81370P. Oplt—1115113

WNov 25 · 17:45M. Hajek—11119103P. Oplt—981161

M. Hajek10

WSep 11 · 11:45M. Hajek1.7391311113Z. Vasatko2.001111381 LSep 11 · 10:15P. Oplt1.6111511113M. Hajek2.20311451 LSep 11 · 09:45P. Semrad1.671111113M. Hajek2.106760 WSep 10 · 12:18M. Hajek2.001111113L. Smazik1.737530 LSep 10 · 11:45M. Hajek1.831411881L. Kolman1.8316611113 LSep 10 · 10:15M. Svitac2.25811911113M. Hajek1.5711911832 WSep 10 · 09:45L. Smazik1.53611761M. Hajek2.3811811113 LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113 WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113 LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960

P. Oplt10

LSep 11 · 11:15P. Oplt1.911081161P. Semrad1.8012116113 WSep 11 · 10:15P. Oplt1.6111511113M. Hajek2.20311451 LSep 11 · 09:15P. Oplt1.8061080Z. Vasatko1.911112113 LSep 7 · 17:10P. Oplt1.9151111752P. Semrad1.80119711113 WSep 7 · 16:00D. Marasek2.10101111892P. Oplt1.67127511113 LSep 7 · 15:00P. Semrad1.911111113P. Oplt1.809890 WSep 7 · 13:30L. Smazik2.10101140P. Oplt1.671213113 WAug 10 · 20:18D. Marasek2.10711121242P. Oplt1.671171410113 LAug 10 · 19:15P. Oplt1.61711561D. Marasek2.2011711113 LAug 10 · 18:15P. Oplt1.53106111152M. Hajek2.38121179113

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