TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13135893
Played Sep 15Finished
Petr Semrad
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119119––––
Zdenek Vasatko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Semrad above · Zdenek Vasatko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9
57 points played in total.
H2H Petr Semrad 18–13 Zdenek Vasatko Zdenek Vasatko has won 13 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Semrad beat Vasatko 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Semrad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semrad form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemrad 1.73 / Vasatko 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Semrad)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13135893
Semrad1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 89 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it71% 60 of 84
Vasatko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 28 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back24% 6 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemrad5wins
AwayVasatko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemrad75%3 of 4
AwayVasatko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semrad4Vasatko6n = 10Vasatko took 6 of 10
S2Semrad8Vasatko2n = 10Semrad took 8 of 10
S3Semrad5Vasatko5n = 10split evenly
S4Semrad3Vasatko4n = 7Vasatko took 4 of 7
S5Semrad1Vasatko2n = 3Vasatko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemradVasatkoS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.335.5+0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemradVasatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 535 vs 144 / 29151.2%49.5%274 / 535 vs 144 / 291Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemradSemrad 1.73/Vasatko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Semrad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Semrad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 15:15P. Semrad3741111113Z. Vasatko30117571
WSep 12 · 11:00P. Semrad331111113Z. Vasatko209470
LSep 11 · 12:44P. Semrad28913151Z. Vasatko44111111113
WSep 11 · 10:45P. Semrad3811115113Z. Vasatko28281171
LSep 5 · 16:18P. Semrad501011121162Z. Vasatko50129144113
WSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad517111111113Z. Vasatko4311741382
LMay 24 · 09:30P. Semrad29118371Z. Vasatko3851111113
LMay 2 · 09:15P. Semrad156720Z. Vasatko331111113
LMar 21 · 14:15P. Semrad496111110112Z. Vasatko46115512133
WMar 15 · 07:00P. Semrad331111113Z. Vasatko239680
P. Semrad10
WSep 15 · 15:15Z. Vasatko2.20117571P. Semrad1.6141111113LSep 15 · 14:45P. Semrad1.57131011672D. Marasek2.251112911113LSep 15 · 13:45P. Semrad1.671371011112M. Hajek2.101111127133WSep 12 · 12:38P. Semrad1.73111193L. Smazik2.005580LSep 12 · 11:30L. Smazik2.0011612113P. Semrad1.738111091WSep 12 · 11:00P. Semrad1.731111113Z. Vasatko2.009470WSep 12 · 10:00P. Semrad1.53101212143M. Hajek2.38121010121LSep 11 · 12:44Z. Vasatko1.91111111113P. Semrad1.80913151WSep 11 · 11:15P. Oplt1.911081161P. Semrad1.8012116113WSep 11 · 10:45P. Semrad1.7311115113Z. Vasatko2.00281171
Z. Vasatko10
LSep 15 · 15:15Z. Vasatko2.20117571P. Semrad1.6141111113WSep 15 · 14:15Z. Vasatko2.0091111133M. Hajek1.731189111LSep 15 · 13:15Z. Vasatko1.6771181182D. Marasek2.10119115113WSep 14 · 12:24M. Hajek1.6151281192Z. Vasatko2.201110117113LSep 14 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.10511961M. Hajek1.6711911113WSep 14 · 10:15Z. Vasatko2.101111113L. Smazik1.677290WSep 14 · 09:15Z. Vasatko1.731111113M. Svitac2.007650LSep 12 · 11:00P. Semrad1.731111113Z. Vasatko2.009470WSep 11 · 12:44Z. Vasatko1.91111111113P. Semrad1.80913151LSep 11 · 10:45P. Semrad1.7311115113Z. Vasatko2.00281171
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