Petr Semrad vs Libor Smazik 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13120110

Played Sep 12Finished

Petr Semrad

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

11511598––––

Libor Smazik

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingPetr Semrad above · Libor Smazik below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 9-8

Point 49 set 3, 9-8

49 points played in total.

H2H Petr Semrad 29–28 Libor Smazik Libor Smazik has won 28 of their 57 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Smazik beat Semrad 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Semrad)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSemrad 1.73 / Smazik 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Semrad)+0.4pp

Setka Cup · #13120110

Semrad1.73

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite55% won 94 of 170

Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46

Up 1–0, closes it69% 62 of 90

Smazik2.00

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog50% won 26 of 52

Down 0–1, comes back30% 9 of 30

Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSemrad5wins

AwaySmazik5wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSemrad100%4 of 4

AwaySmazik83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Semrad4Smazik6n = 10Smazik took 6 of 10

S2Semrad4Smazik6n = 10Smazik took 6 of 10

S3Semrad4Smazik6n = 10Smazik took 6 of 10

S4Semrad5Smazik1n = 6Semrad took 5 of 6

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricSemradSmazikSemrad − SmazikBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.434.8+2.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSemradSmazikBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 531 vs 205 / 40351.2%50.9%272 / 531 vs 205 / 403Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Semrad

Semrad 1.73/Smazik 2.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54.1%

Semrad · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Semrad won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 12 · 11:30P. Semrad388111091L. Smazik4011612113

WSep 7 · 15:30P. Semrad4111118113L. Smazik32481191

WSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad3911711103L. Smazik27811351

WJul 16 · 14:45P. Semrad43111110113L. Smazik28561251

LJul 15 · 12:58P. Semrad48125111192L. Smazik49141158113

LJul 15 · 10:15P. Semrad239590L. Smazik331111113

LJul 13 · 13:30P. Semrad29711110L. Smazik371113133

WJul 12 · 12:58P. Semrad331111113L. Smazik258890

LJul 12 · 12:00P. Semrad259880L. Smazik331111113

WJul 11 · 12:00P. Semrad558101511113L. Smazik44111213532

P. Semrad10

LSep 12 · 11:30L. Smazik2.0011612113P. Semrad1.738111091 WSep 12 · 11:00P. Semrad1.731111113Z. Vasatko2.009470 WSep 12 · 10:00P. Semrad1.53101212143M. Hajek2.38121010121 LSep 11 · 12:44Z. Vasatko1.91111111113P. Semrad1.80913151 WSep 11 · 11:15P. Oplt1.911081161P. Semrad1.8012116113 WSep 11 · 10:45P. Semrad1.7311115113Z. Vasatko2.00281171 WSep 11 · 09:45P. Semrad1.671111113M. Hajek2.106760 WSep 7 · 17:10P. Oplt1.9151111752P. Semrad1.80119711113 WSep 7 · 15:30L. Smazik2.00481191P. Semrad1.7311118113 WSep 7 · 15:00P. Semrad1.911111113P. Oplt1.809890

L. Smazik10

WSep 12 · 11:30L. Smazik2.0011612113P. Semrad1.738111091 LSep 12 · 10:30L. Smazik1.83125741M. Hajek1.83101111113 WSep 12 · 09:30L. Smazik1.801111103Z. Vasatko1.917680 LSep 10 · 12:18M. Hajek2.001111113L. Smazik1.737530 LSep 10 · 11:15M. Svitac2.1013119113L. Smazik1.671181181 LSep 10 · 10:45L. Smazik1.83113861L. Kolman1.8361111113 LSep 10 · 09:45L. Smazik1.53611761M. Hajek2.3811811113 LSep 7 · 16:38D. Marasek1.831115119113L. Smazik1.8351741172 LSep 7 · 15:30L. Smazik2.00481191P. Semrad1.7311118113 LSep 7 · 14:30L. Smazik1.804630D. Marasek1.911111113

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