TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126479
Played Sep 14Finished
Zdenek Vasatko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511119911611––
Miroslav Hajek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:51 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Vasatko above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 56.6%
73 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Vasatko 10–15 Miroslav Hajek Zdenek Vasatko has won 10 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hajek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-15 in 25
Hajek
Correct
gap of 5 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasatko 1623 vs Hajek 1662
Hajek
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasatko 60% vs Hajek 80%
Hajek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasatko 50% vs Hajek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasatko +2 · Hajek +3
Hajek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasatko 2.10 / Hajek 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Hajek)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13126479
Vasatko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 26 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Hajek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 63 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it75% 48 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasatko3wins
AwayHajek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasatko50%2 of 4
AwayHajek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasatko4Hajek6n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S2Vasatko3Hajek7n = 10Hajek took 7 of 10
S3Vasatko3Hajek7n = 10Hajek took 7 of 10
S4Vasatko2Hajek6n = 8Hajek took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasatkoHajekV − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.639.0−4.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasatkoHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 291 vs 363 / 67249.5%54%144 / 291 vs 363 / 672Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekVasatko 2.10/Hajek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 11:15Z. Vasatko31511961M. Hajek4211911113
LSep 12 · 13:09Z. Vasatko259970M. Hajek31111193
WSep 12 · 12:00Z. Vasatko49119711113M. Hajek3971111462
LSep 11 · 11:45Z. Vasatko331111381M. Hajek4491311113
LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko2911990M. Hajek351311113
WSep 4 · 11:45Z. Vasatko4291111113M. Hajek29116571
LAug 25 · 11:45Z. Vasatko359111231M. Hajek4411814113
LAug 1 · 13:30Z. Vasatko341191041M. Hajek4171112113
WMay 20 · 15:15Z. Vasatko45119113113M. Hajek4581171182
LMay 14 · 11:45Z. Vasatko23451131M. Hajek4011117113
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 14 · 10:15Z. Vasatko2.101111113L. Smazik1.677290WSep 14 · 09:15Z. Vasatko1.731111113M. Svitac2.007650LSep 12 · 13:09Z. Vasatko1.809970M. Hajek1.91111193WSep 12 · 12:00M. Hajek1.7371111462Z. Vasatko2.00119711113LSep 12 · 11:00P. Semrad1.731111113Z. Vasatko2.009470LSep 12 · 09:30L. Smazik1.801111103Z. Vasatko1.917680WSep 11 · 12:44Z. Vasatko1.91111111113P. Semrad1.80913151LSep 11 · 11:45M. Hajek1.7391311113Z. Vasatko2.001111381LSep 11 · 10:45P. Semrad1.7311115113Z. Vasatko2.00281171WSep 11 · 09:15P. Oplt1.8061080Z. Vasatko1.911112113
M. Hajek10
WSep 14 · 10:45M. Hajek1.6111149113M. Svitac2.205121141WSep 14 · 09:45M. Hajek1.801111113L. Smazik1.918870WSep 12 · 13:09Z. Vasatko1.809970M. Hajek1.91111193LSep 12 · 12:00M. Hajek1.7371111462Z. Vasatko2.00119711113WSep 12 · 10:30L. Smazik1.83125741M. Hajek1.83101111113LSep 12 · 10:00P. Semrad1.53101212143M. Hajek2.38121010121LSep 11 · 12:13M. Hajek2.25117691P. Oplt1.5761111113WSep 11 · 11:45M. Hajek1.7391311113Z. Vasatko2.001111381LSep 11 · 10:15P. Oplt1.6111511113M. Hajek2.20311451LSep 11 · 09:45P. Semrad1.671111113M. Hajek2.106760
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