TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13129289
Played Sep 14Finished
Miroslav Hajek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111210811117911
Zdenek Vasatko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMiroslav Hajek above · Zdenek Vasatko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11
95 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Hajek 15–10 Zdenek Vasatko Zdenek Vasatko has won 10 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Hajek beat Vasatko 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasatko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 1.61 / Vasatko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Hajek)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13129289
Hajek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 63 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it75% 48 of 64
Vasatko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 26 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHajek7wins
AwayVasatko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHajek83.3%5 of 6
AwayVasatko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hajek6Vasatko4n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S2Hajek7Vasatko3n = 10Hajek took 7 of 10
S3Hajek7Vasatko3n = 10Hajek took 7 of 10
S4Hajek6Vasatko2n = 8Hajek took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHajekVasatkoH − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.034.6+4.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekVasatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 672 vs 144 / 29154%49.5%363 / 672 vs 144 / 291Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekHajek 1.61/Vasatko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vasatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 11:15M. Hajek4211911113Z. Vasatko31511961
WSep 12 · 13:09M. Hajek31111193Z. Vasatko259970
LSep 12 · 12:00M. Hajek3971111462Z. Vasatko49119711113
WSep 11 · 11:45M. Hajek4491311113Z. Vasatko331111381
WSep 4 · 12:43M. Hajek351311113Z. Vasatko2911990
LSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek29116571Z. Vasatko4291111113
WAug 25 · 11:45M. Hajek4411814113Z. Vasatko359111231
WAug 1 · 13:30M. Hajek4171112113Z. Vasatko341191041
LMay 20 · 15:15M. Hajek4581171182Z. Vasatko45119113113
WMay 14 · 11:45M. Hajek4011117113Z. Vasatko23451131
M. Hajek10
WSep 14 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.10511961M. Hajek1.6711911113WSep 14 · 10:45M. Hajek1.6111149113M. Svitac2.205121141WSep 14 · 09:45M. Hajek1.801111113L. Smazik1.918870WSep 12 · 13:09Z. Vasatko1.809970M. Hajek1.91111193LSep 12 · 12:00M. Hajek1.7371111462Z. Vasatko2.00119711113WSep 12 · 10:30L. Smazik1.83125741M. Hajek1.83101111113LSep 12 · 10:00P. Semrad1.53101212143M. Hajek2.38121010121LSep 11 · 12:13M. Hajek2.25117691P. Oplt1.5761111113WSep 11 · 11:45M. Hajek1.7391311113Z. Vasatko2.001111381LSep 11 · 10:15P. Oplt1.6111511113M. Hajek2.20311451
Z. Vasatko10
LSep 14 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.10511961M. Hajek1.6711911113WSep 14 · 10:15Z. Vasatko2.101111113L. Smazik1.677290WSep 14 · 09:15Z. Vasatko1.731111113M. Svitac2.007650LSep 12 · 13:09Z. Vasatko1.809970M. Hajek1.91111193WSep 12 · 12:00M. Hajek1.7371111462Z. Vasatko2.00119711113LSep 12 · 11:00P. Semrad1.731111113Z. Vasatko2.009470LSep 12 · 09:30L. Smazik1.801111103Z. Vasatko1.917680WSep 11 · 12:44Z. Vasatko1.91111111113P. Semrad1.80913151LSep 11 · 11:45M. Hajek1.7391311113Z. Vasatko2.001111381LSep 11 · 10:45P. Semrad1.7311115113Z. Vasatko2.00281171
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