TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131330
Played Sep 15Finished
Zdenek Vasatko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111181191311––
Miroslav Hajek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZdenek Vasatko above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 83 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 54.5%
83 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Vasatko 11–15 Miroslav Hajek Zdenek Vasatko has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hajek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Hajek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasatko 1616 vs Hajek 1660
Hajek
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasatko 60% vs Hajek 80%
Hajek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasatko 50% vs Hajek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasatko -1 · Hajek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasatko 2.00 / Hajek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Hajek)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13131330
Vasatko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 28 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back24% 6 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Hajek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 66 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it76% 51 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasatko4wins
AwayHajek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasatko60%3 of 5
AwayHajek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasatko5Hajek5n = 10split evenly
S2Vasatko3Hajek7n = 10Hajek took 7 of 10
S3Vasatko3Hajek7n = 10Hajek took 7 of 10
S4Vasatko2Hajek6n = 8Hajek took 6 of 8
S5Vasatko3Hajek0n = 3Vasatko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasatkoHajekV − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.339.5−2.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasatkoHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 289 vs 363 / 67249.5%54%143 / 289 vs 363 / 672Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekVasatko 2.00/Hajek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vasatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 12:24Z. Vasatko501110117113M. Hajek4551281192
LSep 14 · 11:15Z. Vasatko31511961M. Hajek4211911113
LSep 12 · 13:09Z. Vasatko259970M. Hajek31111193
WSep 12 · 12:00Z. Vasatko49119711113M. Hajek3971111462
LSep 11 · 11:45Z. Vasatko331111381M. Hajek4491311113
LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko2911990M. Hajek351311113
WSep 4 · 11:45Z. Vasatko4291111113M. Hajek29116571
LAug 25 · 11:45Z. Vasatko359111231M. Hajek4411814113
LAug 1 · 13:30Z. Vasatko341191041M. Hajek4171112113
WMay 20 · 15:15Z. Vasatko45119113113M. Hajek4581171182
Z. Vasatko10
LSep 15 · 15:15Z. Vasatko2.20117571P. Semrad1.6141111113LSep 15 · 13:15Z. Vasatko1.6771181182D. Marasek2.10119115113WSep 14 · 12:24M. Hajek1.6151281192Z. Vasatko2.201110117113LSep 14 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.10511961M. Hajek1.6711911113WSep 14 · 10:15Z. Vasatko2.101111113L. Smazik1.677290WSep 14 · 09:15Z. Vasatko1.731111113M. Svitac2.007650LSep 12 · 13:09Z. Vasatko1.809970M. Hajek1.91111193WSep 12 · 12:00M. Hajek1.7371111462Z. Vasatko2.00119711113LSep 12 · 11:00P. Semrad1.731111113Z. Vasatko2.009470LSep 12 · 09:30L. Smazik1.801111103Z. Vasatko1.917680
M. Hajek10
WSep 15 · 13:45P. Semrad1.671371011112M. Hajek2.101111127133LSep 14 · 12:24M. Hajek1.6151281192Z. Vasatko2.201110117113WSep 14 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.10511961M. Hajek1.6711911113WSep 14 · 10:45M. Hajek1.6111149113M. Svitac2.205121141WSep 14 · 09:45M. Hajek1.801111113L. Smazik1.918870WSep 12 · 13:09Z. Vasatko1.809970M. Hajek1.91111193LSep 12 · 12:00M. Hajek1.7371111462Z. Vasatko2.00119711113WSep 12 · 10:30L. Smazik1.83125741M. Hajek1.83101111113LSep 12 · 10:00P. Semrad1.53101212143M. Hajek2.38121010121LSep 11 · 12:13M. Hajek2.25117691P. Oplt1.5761111113
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