TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131290
Played Sep 15Finished
Petr Semrad
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
131171110121171113
Miroslav Hajek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timePetr Semrad to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Semrad above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 106 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Petr Semrad at 59.0%
106 points played in total.
H2H Petr Semrad 19–19 Miroslav Hajek Dead even across their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Semrad
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-19 in 38
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semrad 1729 vs Hajek 1660
Semrad
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semrad 60% vs Hajek 80%
Hajek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semrad 80% vs Hajek 60%
Semrad
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Semrad +1 · Hajek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Semrad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemrad 1.67 / Hajek 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Semrad)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13131290
Semrad1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 89 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it71% 60 of 84
Hajek2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 37 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back25% 11 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemrad6wins
AwayHajek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSemrad leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemrad57.1%4 of 7
AwayHajek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semrad7Hajek3n = 10Semrad took 7 of 10
S2Semrad6Hajek4n = 10Semrad took 6 of 10
S3Semrad9Hajek1n = 10Semrad took 9 of 10
S4Semrad3Hajek4n = 7Hajek took 4 of 7
S5Semrad1Hajek4n = 5Hajek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemradHajekS − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.836.2+5.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemradHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 532 vs 363 / 67251.3%54%273 / 532 vs 363 / 672Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SemradSemrad 1.67/Hajek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Semrad · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 10:00P. Semrad48101212143M. Hajek44121010121
WSep 11 · 09:45P. Semrad331111113M. Hajek196760
WAug 16 · 09:45P. Semrad331111113M. Hajek216870
LMay 3 · 15:45P. Semrad48117119102M. Hajek49711811123
LMay 2 · 12:49P. Semrad4481191152M. Hajek4211711493
WMay 2 · 11:45P. Semrad44116115113M. Hajek4461191172
LApr 26 · 10:45P. Semrad481110116102M. Hajek50712811123
WApr 8 · 15:45P. Semrad331111113M. Hajek187650
WMar 31 · 14:45P. Semrad4181111113M. Hajek29116391
LMar 20 · 09:13P. Semrad461110111042M. Hajek46412712113
P. Semrad10
WSep 12 · 12:38P. Semrad1.73111193L. Smazik2.005580LSep 12 · 11:30L. Smazik2.0011612113P. Semrad1.738111091WSep 12 · 11:00P. Semrad1.731111113Z. Vasatko2.009470WSep 12 · 10:00P. Semrad1.53101212143M. Hajek2.38121010121LSep 11 · 12:44Z. Vasatko1.91111111113P. Semrad1.80913151WSep 11 · 11:15P. Oplt1.911081161P. Semrad1.8012116113WSep 11 · 10:45P. Semrad1.7311115113Z. Vasatko2.00281171WSep 11 · 09:45P. Semrad1.671111113M. Hajek2.106760WSep 7 · 17:10P. Oplt1.9151111752P. Semrad1.80119711113WSep 7 · 15:30L. Smazik2.00481191P. Semrad1.7311118113
M. Hajek10
LSep 15 · 14:15Z. Vasatko2.0091111133M. Hajek1.731189111LSep 14 · 12:24M. Hajek1.6151281192Z. Vasatko2.201110117113WSep 14 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.10511961M. Hajek1.6711911113WSep 14 · 10:45M. Hajek1.6111149113M. Svitac2.205121141WSep 14 · 09:45M. Hajek1.801111113L. Smazik1.918870WSep 12 · 13:09Z. Vasatko1.809970M. Hajek1.91111193LSep 12 · 12:00M. Hajek1.7371111462Z. Vasatko2.00119711113WSep 12 · 10:30L. Smazik1.83125741M. Hajek1.83101111113LSep 12 · 10:00P. Semrad1.53101212143M. Hajek2.38121010121LSep 11 · 09:45P. Semrad1.671111113M. Hajek2.106760
Upcoming Matches
P. Semrad
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M. Hajek
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