TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136557
Played Sep 16Finished
Libor Smazik
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911711911––
Tomas Hrstka
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeLibor Smazik to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLibor Smazik above · Tomas Hrstka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Libor Smazik at 62.5%
78 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:39What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Smazik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Smazik 1533 vs Hrstka 1537
Hrstka
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Smazik 40% vs Hrstka 60%
Hrstka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Smazik 40% vs Hrstka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Smazik +1 · Hrstka +3
Hrstka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Smazik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrstka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmazik 1.50 / Hrstka 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Smazik)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136557
Smazik1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 52 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it70% 39 of 56
Hrstka2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 13 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back25% 5 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmazikHrstkaBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 406 vs 31 / 7050.3%44.3%204 / 406 vs 31 / 70Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
SmazikSmazik 1.50/Hrstka 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Smazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrstka won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Smazik10
LSep 16 · 12:19L. Smazik1.8398110L. Kolman1.831111133WSep 16 · 10:15L. Kolman1.731011681L. Smazik2.0012711113LSep 16 · 09:45Z. Vasatko1.831115113L. Smazik1.8341380WSep 14 · 12:53M. Svitac1.83911491L. Smazik1.8311811113LSep 14 · 11:45L. Smazik1.8311351152M. Svitac1.83511119113LSep 14 · 10:15Z. Vasatko2.101111113L. Smazik1.677290LSep 14 · 09:45M. Hajek1.801111113L. Smazik1.918870LSep 12 · 12:38P. Semrad1.73111193L. Smazik2.005580WSep 12 · 11:30L. Smazik2.0011612113P. Semrad1.738111091LSep 12 · 10:30L. Smazik1.83125741M. Hajek1.83101111113
T. Hrstka10
LSep 16 · 12:49T. Hrstka2.5061151372Z. Vasatko1.501181111113WSep 16 · 10:45Z. Vasatko1.336111421T. Hrstka3.2511616113WSep 16 · 09:15L. Kolman1.50111061192T. Hrstka2.50512117113WAug 14 · 12:38P. Provaznik1.734660T. Hrstka2.001111113LAug 14 · 11:30T. Hrstka1.91981151P. Provaznik1.8011117113LAug 14 · 10:30T. Hrstka2.632111341M. Hajek1.44111311113LAug 14 · 09:30T. Hrstka2.103780L. Kolman1.671111113LAug 10 · 13:13T. Hrstka2.6381161172M. Svitac1.44119116113WAug 10 · 12:00T. Hrstka1.734111011113Z. Kuksa2.0011812762WAug 10 · 10:30P. Provaznik1.7312890T. Hrstka2.001411113
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