TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129719
Played Sep 15Finished
Martin Sopko
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116117119––
Marek Chlebecek
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:22 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Sopko to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sopko above · Marek Chlebecek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Martin Sopko at 73.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sopko 3–0 Marek Chlebecek Marek Chlebecek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:22What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Sopko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Sopko
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sopko 1610 vs Chlebecek 1631
Chlebecek
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sopko 20% vs Chlebecek 100%
Chlebecek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sopko 60% vs Chlebecek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sopko -4 · Chlebecek +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Sopko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chlebecek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSopko 1.28 / Chlebecek 3.50
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Sopko)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129719
Sopko1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 37 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Chlebecek3.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 27 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back28% 10 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSopko3wins
AwayChlebecek0wins
Sopko leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSopko100%3 of 3
AwayChlebecekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sopko3Chlebecek0n = 3Sopko took 3 of 3
S2Sopko3Chlebecek0n = 3Sopko took 3 of 3
S3Sopko3Chlebecek0n = 3Sopko took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home3100%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSopkoChlebecekS − CBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match33.019.3+13.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSopkoChlebecekBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 349 vs 114 / 23546.7%48.5%163 / 349 vs 114 / 235Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopkoSopko 1.28/Chlebecek 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Sopko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sopko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 9 · 23:30M. Sopko331111113M. Chlebecek196490
WMay 24 · 03:30M. Sopko331111113M. Chlebecek206950
WMay 23 · 22:30M. Sopko331111113M. Chlebecek194960
M. Sopko10
LSep 15 · 22:00M. Sopko2.389111161M. Regner1.5311138113LSep 12 · 03:30S. Kadavy1.7311119113M. Sopko2.00491171LSep 12 · 02:30M. Sopko1.8311711952S. Kadavy1.83511611113LSep 12 · 01:30R. Krejci3.251111113M. Sopko1.338790WSep 12 · 24:00M. Sopko1.731111113V. Cermak2.001860WSep 11 · 23:00P. Pycha2.509511101M. Sopko1.5011113123WSep 9 · 03:30M. Sobisek1.65118641M. Sopko2.1091111113WSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960WSep 9 · 01:30V. Cermak1.80611581M. Sopko1.9111511113WSep 9 · 24:00M. Sopko1.331111113A. Hlawatschke3.256760
M. Chlebecek10
LSep 16 · 24:30M. Regner1.91111112113M. Chlebecek1.80971461WSep 15 · 22:30M. Chlebecek1.6711119113M. Sobisek2.10951191WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101WSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890LSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670LSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.