TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128750
Played Sep 15Finished
Marek Chlebecek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119115911119––
Martin Sobisek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:22 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeMarek Chlebecek to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Chlebecek above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Marek Chlebecek at 58.6%
76 points played in total.
H2H Marek Chlebecek 13–10 Martin Sobisek Martin Sobisek has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:22What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Chlebecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-10 in 23
Chlebecek
Correct
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chlebecek 1616 vs Sobisek 1704
Sobisek
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlebecek 80% vs Sobisek 40%
Chlebecek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlebecek 70% vs Sobisek 50%
Chlebecek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlebecek +4 · Sobisek -2
Chlebecek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Chlebecek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chlebecek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlebecek 1.67 / Sobisek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Chlebecek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128750
Chlebecek1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 32 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Sobisek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 126 of 322
Down 0–1, comes back25% 46 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChlebecek5wins
AwaySobisek5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChlebecek66.7%4 of 6
AwaySobisek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlebecek6Sobisek4n = 10Chlebecek took 6 of 10
S2Chlebecek6Sobisek4n = 10Chlebecek took 6 of 10
S3Chlebecek3Sobisek7n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S4Chlebecek6Sobisek2n = 8Chlebecek took 6 of 8
S5Chlebecek2Sobisek4n = 6Sobisek took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChlebecekSobisekC − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.141.4+2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChlebecekSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 234 vs 560 / 118748.3%47.2%113 / 234 vs 560 / 1187Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChlebecekChlebecek 1.67/Sobisek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Chlebecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chlebecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek331111113M. Sobisek236890
LSep 6 · 21:29M. Chlebecek48109111172M. Sobisek49121196113
WSep 6 · 19:30M. Chlebecek4111117123M. Sobisek345811101
WSep 1 · 22:30M. Chlebecek5510111211113M. Sobisek4212614732
LAug 30 · 22:30M. Chlebecek2438130M. Sobisek371111153
WAug 24 · 24:00M. Chlebecek3811115113M. Sobisek26381141
LAug 23 · 18:30M. Chlebecek571114912112M. Sobisek588161110133
WAug 8 · 03:30M. Chlebecek46119114113M. Sobisek4691171182
LAug 8 · 24:00M. Chlebecek521111111092M. Sobisek49671312113
LJul 24 · 24:00M. Chlebecek47711811102M. Sobisek50118118123
M. Chlebecek10
LSep 16 · 24:30M. Regner1.91111112113M. Chlebecek1.80971461LSep 15 · 23:30M. Sopko1.2891111113M. Chlebecek3.50116791WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101WSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890LSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670LSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123
M. Sobisek10
LSep 16 · 24:00M. Sychra1.5011119113M. Sobisek2.50761151LSep 13 · 03:00M. Sobisek1.50912120M. Vizek2.501114143LSep 13 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.808111181D. Tuma1.9111613113WSep 13 · 01:30M. Vizek2.205670M. Sobisek1.611111113WSep 13 · 24:00M. Sobisek1.5311119113R. Krejci2.38731181LSep 12 · 23:00P. Pycha1.839121112113M. Sobisek1.83111461062WSep 11 · 02:59M. Sobisek1.361110511133M. Vedmoch3.00512117112LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172LSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123
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