TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129911
Played Sep 16Finished
Michal Regner
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191171214116––
Marek Chlebecek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:01 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMarek Chlebecek to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Regner above · Marek Chlebecek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 81 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Marek Chlebecek at 55.8%
81 points played in total.
H2H Michal Regner 1–3 Marek Chlebecek Michal Regner has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:01What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Chlebecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Chlebecek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1717 vs Chlebecek 1618
Regner
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 60% vs Chlebecek 80%
Chlebecek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 50% vs Chlebecek 70%
Chlebecek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner +2 · Chlebecek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chlebecek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chlebecek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.91 / Chlebecek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chlebecek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129911
Regner1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 109 of 240
Down 0–1, comes back25% 28 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Chlebecek1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 32 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeRegner1wins
AwayChlebecek3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderChlebecek leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegnern = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayChlebecek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner1Chlebecek3n = 4Chlebecek took 3 of 4
S2Regner1Chlebecek3n = 4Chlebecek took 3 of 4
S3Regner1Chlebecek3n = 4Chlebecek took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricRegnerChlebecekR − CBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match34.838.5−3.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerChlebecekBasisWin rate · lifetime512 / 1058 vs 114 / 23648.4%48.3%512 / 1058 vs 114 / 236Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChlebecekRegner 1.91/Chlebecek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chlebecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 2 · 03:30M. Regner34911681M. Chlebecek3811511113
LSep 2 · 01:00M. Regner2511680M. Chlebecek351311113
LAug 24 · 03:40M. Regner29109100M. Chlebecek351211123
WAug 24 · 02:00M. Regner51119116143M. Chlebecek46811411122
M. Regner10
WSep 15 · 23:00M. Regner1.731111113M. Sychra2.006970WSep 15 · 22:00M. Sopko2.389111161M. Regner1.5311138113LSep 13 · 03:00M. Regner1.8310280J. Louda1.831211113WSep 13 · 02:00R. Wagner1.404890M. Regner2.751111113LSep 13 · 24:30M. Regner1.618950R. Rose2.201111113LSep 12 · 23:00M. Regner2.38186571S. Kasnik1.53161111113WSep 12 · 22:00J. Louda1.736118111M. Regner2.0011711133LSep 12 · 13:31P. Saleny1.501111113M. Regner2.506110WSep 12 · 12:00M. Regner1.8311119113M. Sychra1.83881141LSep 12 · 11:30P. Saleny1.6111119123M. Regner2.205611101
M. Chlebecek10
LSep 16 · 01:30M. Chlebecek2.10115491M. Sychra1.6751111113LSep 15 · 23:30M. Sopko1.2891111113M. Chlebecek3.50116791WSep 15 · 22:30M. Chlebecek1.6711119113M. Sobisek2.10951191WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101WSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890LSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670LSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272
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