TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114947
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Regner
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118118911114––
Martin Sychra
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Regner above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 73 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Michal Regner at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Michal Regner 46–41 Martin Sychra Martin Sychra has won 41 of their 87 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:45What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sychra
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-41 in 87
Regner
Correct
gap of 5 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1705 vs Sychra 1690
Regner
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 40% vs Sychra 60%
Sychra
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 50% vs Sychra 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -1 · Sychra +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sychra) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.83 / Sychra 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sychra)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114947
Regner1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Sychra1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner6wins
AwaySychra4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner71.4%5 of 7
AwaySychra66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner7Sychra3n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S2Regner4Sychra6n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10
S3Regner5Sychra5n = 10split evenly
S4Regner5Sychra4n = 9Regner took 5 of 9
S5Regner2Sychra1n = 3Regner took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerSychraR − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.039.3+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime507 / 1053 vs 801 / 151948.2%52.7%507 / 1053 vs 801 / 1519Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraRegner 1.83/Sychra 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 22:30M. Regner42111181113M. Sychra4399111132
LSep 10 · 02:58M. Regner29115491M. Sychra4071111113
WSep 9 · 23:00M. Regner371115113M. Sychra3081390
WSep 6 · 02:30M. Regner4011711113M. Sychra28511931
WAug 31 · 12:59M. Regner4311912113M. Sychra294111041
LAug 31 · 10:00M. Regner45310111472M. Sychra531112712113
LAug 28 · 09:29M. Regner37911981M. Sychra4211911113
WAug 28 · 07:00M. Regner559111113113M. Sychra47117131152
LAug 26 · 11:30M. Regner28116651M. Sychra4181111113
WAug 25 · 01:30M. Regner4411813123M. Sychra4081111101
M. Regner10
LSep 12 · 13:31P. Saleny1.501111113M. Regner2.506110LSep 12 · 11:30P. Saleny1.6111119123M. Regner2.205611101WSep 12 · 10:00M. Regner2.631111113S. Kasnik1.446690LSep 11 · 03:30S. Kasnik1.5211711113M. Regner2.35811881LSep 11 · 01:30M. Regner2.509390S. Kasnik1.501111113WSep 11 · 24:30J. Louda1.73311761M. Regner2.0011511113WSep 10 · 23:30M. Klement1.80116761M. Regner1.9191111113WSep 10 · 22:30M. Regner1.83111181113M. Sychra1.8399111132LSep 10 · 02:58M. Sychra1.8371111113M. Regner1.83115491WSep 10 · 02:00M. Skakal1.57111179102M. Regner2.25661111123
M. Sychra10
WSep 12 · 13:01M. Sychra1.8571111123S. Kasnik1.851155101WSep 12 · 11:00S. Kasnik1.738911101M. Sychra2.0011119123LSep 12 · 10:30M. Sychra2.504511101P. Saleny1.5011117123WSep 12 · 09:30M. Sychra1.6781111133M. Klement2.101177111LSep 12 · 08:30M. Klement2.38118116113M. Sychra1.5391131162WSep 12 · 07:30M. Sychra2.7551111113P. Saleny1.40119881WSep 12 · 06:30S. Kasnik1.67911451M. Sychra2.1011811113WSep 11 · 02:59J. Louda1.50911591M. Sychra2.5011911113LSep 10 · 22:30M. Regner1.83111181113M. Sychra1.8399111132WSep 10 · 02:58M. Sychra1.8371111113M. Regner1.83115491
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