TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13105024
Played Sep 10Finished
Milan Klement
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119611711611––
Michal Regner
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Michal Regner below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 72 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Michal Regner at 56.9%
72 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 40–55 Michal Regner Milan Klement has won 40 of their 95 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:49What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Klement
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-55 in 95
Regner
Correct
gap of 15 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1626 vs Regner 1685
Regner
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 20% vs Regner 60%
Regner
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 40% vs Regner 70%
Regner
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement -3 · Regner +1
Klement
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Klement) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klement form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 1.80 / Regner 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Klement)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13105024
Klement1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 117 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it90% 62 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it72% 89 of 123
Regner1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 119 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlement4wins
AwayRegner6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlement66.7%4 of 6
AwayRegner100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement6Regner4n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S2Klement3Regner7n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S3Klement7Regner3n = 10Klement took 7 of 10
S4Klement3Regner5n = 8Regner took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlementRegnerK − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.437.0−0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 881 vs 509 / 105951.3%48.1%452 / 881 vs 509 / 1059Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementKlement 1.80/Regner 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 09:28M. Klement—7101141M. Regner—11128113
WSep 3 · 06:30M. Klement—111111113M. Regner—813471
WAug 25 · 03:30M. Klement—1311113M. Regner—11690
LAug 25 · 02:30M. Klement—111111972M. Regner—813711113
LAug 7 · 06:00M. Klement—631191M. Regner—11114113
LJul 18 · 23:00M. Klement—111185102M. Regner—991111123
WJul 17 · 07:00M. Klement—11911113M. Regner—411751
WJul 10 · 01:00M. Klement—11811113M. Regner—811871
LJun 17 · 22:00M. Klement—5750M. Regner—1111113
LJun 15 · 02:30M. Klement—611491M. Regner—11411113
M. Klement10
LSep 10 · 22:00M. Klement2.1081111982J. Louda1.67118811113LSep 9 · 21:00M. Klement1.8371111792D. Hofman1.83113211113LSep 9 · 20:30M. Skakal2.1071111113M. Klement1.67115791WSep 9 · 19:30M. Klement1.831111113D. Hofman1.834570LSep 9 · 18:30J. Tazler2.38155911113M. Klement1.53131111792LSep 8 · 09:28S. Kasnik2.2581111113M. Klement1.57116581LSep 8 · 08:00M. Klement1.6131110111S. Kasnik2.2011912133WSep 8 · 07:30K. Schopf2.635580M. Klement1.441111113WSep 8 · 06:00M. Klement2.251111144113M. Sychra1.5744161172WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162
M. Regner10
WSep 10 · 22:30M. Regner1.83111181113M. Sychra1.8399111132LSep 10 · 02:58M. Sychra1.8371111113M. Regner1.83115491WSep 10 · 02:00M. Skakal1.57111179102M. Regner2.25661111123LSep 10 · 24:30M. Regner1.508613101J. Tazler2.50111111123WSep 9 · 23:00M. Regner1.911115113M. Sychra1.8081390LSep 9 · 22:00M. Pikous1.821311113M. Regner1.8811790WSep 8 · 13:29M. Regner2.38991111113K. Schopf1.5311118772WSep 8 · 12:30M. Regner2.20101211113K. Schopf1.611210551WSep 8 · 11:00M. Regner2.63911611153S. Kasnik1.44118115132WSep 8 · 10:00J. Tazler2.007870M. Regner1.731111113
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