TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13105025
Played Sep 10Finished
Milan Klement
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811118118911811
Jiri Louda
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:50 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Jiri Louda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 96 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Louda at 56.4%
96 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 37–51 Jiri Louda Milan Klement has won 37 of their 88 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:50What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Louda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-51 in 88
Louda
Correct
gap of 14 in 88, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1635 vs Louda 1712
Louda
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 20% vs Louda 80%
Louda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 50% vs Louda 80%
Louda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement -2 · Louda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Louda) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Louda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 2.10 / Louda 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Louda)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13105025
Klement2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 68 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Louda1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite57% won 201 of 352
Up 2–0, closes it88% 92 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it74% 145 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlement5wins
AwayLouda5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlement66.7%4 of 6
AwayLouda75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement6Louda4n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S2Klement4Louda6n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S3Klement6Louda4n = 10Klement took 6 of 10
S4Klement4Louda5n = 9Louda took 5 of 9
S5Klement2Louda2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlementLoudaK − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.840.0+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementLoudaBasisWin rate · lifetime455 / 883 vs 610 / 119651.5%51%455 / 883 vs 610 / 1196Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaKlement 2.10/Louda 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 25 · 21:02M. Klement—181181J. Louda—11116113
WJul 25 · 18:00M. Klement—1111113J. Louda—3870
WJul 23 · 08:59M. Klement—8111111113J. Louda—11138472
WJul 23 · 08:30M. Klement—11139153J. Louda—31111131
WJul 19 · 03:28M. Klement—111186113J. Louda—69111182
LJul 19 · 02:30M. Klement—1161091J. Louda—91112113
WJul 9 · 22:00M. Klement—11156113J. Louda—8131121
LJul 9 · 17:30M. Klement—122115112J. Louda—1011811133
LJul 9 · 14:00M. Klement—8101191J. Louda—11126113
LJul 2 · 19:00M. Klement—76111172J. Louda—111186113
M. Klement10
LSep 9 · 21:00M. Klement1.8371111792D. Hofman1.83113211113LSep 9 · 20:30M. Skakal2.1071111113M. Klement1.67115791WSep 9 · 19:30M. Klement1.831111113D. Hofman1.834570LSep 9 · 18:30J. Tazler2.38155911113M. Klement1.53131111792LSep 8 · 09:28S. Kasnik2.2581111113M. Klement1.57116581LSep 8 · 08:00M. Klement1.6131110111S. Kasnik2.2011912133WSep 8 · 07:30K. Schopf2.635580M. Klement1.441111113WSep 8 · 06:00M. Klement2.251111144113M. Sychra1.5744161172WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113
J. Louda10
WSep 9 · 21:28J. Louda1.44131112113M. Vondrak2.631591051WSep 9 · 20:30J. Louda1.5313911113M. Sychra2.381111691LSep 9 · 19:00J. Louda1.4012811982M. Vondrak2.751011511113WSep 9 · 18:00R. Rose1.678101191J. Louda2.1011127113WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040
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