TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098791
Played Sep 9Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311911116119––
Martin Sychra
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 81 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jiri Louda at 61.6%
81 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 31–21 Martin Sychra Martin Sychra has won 21 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Louda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-21 in 52
Louda
Correct
gap of 10 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1703 vs Sychra 1579
Louda
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 60% vs Sychra 20%
Louda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 70% vs Sychra 20%
Louda
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda -1 · Sychra +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Louda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.53 / Sychra 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Louda)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098791
Louda1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite57% won 201 of 352
Up 2–0, closes it88% 92 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it74% 144 of 196
Sychra2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog49% won 183 of 377
Down 0–1, comes back26% 51 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda6wins
AwaySychra4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda66.7%6 of 9
AwaySychran = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda9Sychra1n = 10Louda took 9 of 10
S2Louda5Sychra5n = 10split evenly
S3Louda7Sychra3n = 10Louda took 7 of 10
S4Louda2Sychra3n = 5Sychra took 3 of 5
S5Louda1Sychra3n = 4Sychra took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaSychraL − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.933.6+5.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime608 / 1194 vs 799 / 151450.9%52.8%608 / 1194 vs 799 / 1514Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaLouda 1.53/Sychra 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 01:30J. Louda—149131062M. Sychra—12111112113
LSep 3 · 19:00J. Louda—11911472M. Sychra—711611113
WAug 21 · 01:30J. Louda—1112113M. Sychra—61070
WAug 17 · 02:30J. Louda—11711123M. Sychra—1113101
WAug 16 · 01:00J. Louda—1111133M. Sychra—66110
WAug 6 · 02:00J. Louda—1111113M. Sychra—5980
LAug 4 · 09:28J. Louda—11118582M. Sychra—991111113
LAug 4 · 08:00J. Louda—58100M. Sychra—1111123
WAug 3 · 02:00J. Louda—1111113M. Sychra—2680
WAug 1 · 09:30J. Louda—1115511113M. Sychra—51711602
J. Louda10
LSep 9 · 19:00J. Louda1.4012811982M. Vondrak2.751011511113WSep 9 · 18:00R. Rose1.678101191J. Louda2.1011127113WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040WSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113
M. Sychra10
WSep 9 · 19:30M. Sychra1.44111116113R. Rose2.639131491LSep 9 · 18:30M. Vondrak1.5711117113M. Sychra2.25971131LSep 8 · 12:59R. Urbaniec1.28911118113M. Sychra3.5011561172LSep 8 · 12:30R. Urbaniec1.3611812113M. Sychra3.009111031LSep 8 · 11:30M. Sychra2.751460J. Ruzicka1.401111113LSep 8 · 10:30F. Pusch1.5011811113M. Sychra2.50811531LSep 8 · 08:59M. Sychra2.006550K. Schopf1.731111113WSep 8 · 08:30M. Sychra1.91711156113K. Schopf1.80117131142LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062
Upcoming Matches
J. Louda
M. Sychra
Sep 9 · 23:00M. Sychra1.80M. Regner1.91—Sep 10 · 24:00M. Sychra1.80M. Skakal1.91—Sep 10 · 01:30M. Sychra1.73J. Tazler2.00—Sep 10 · 02:30M. Sychra2.00S. Kasnik1.73—Sep 10 · 22:30M. Sychra1.80M. Regner1.91—Sep 11 · 24:00M. Sychra2.00S. Kasnik1.73—Sep 11 · 01:00M. Sychra1.57M. Klement2.25—Sep 11 · 02:00M. Sychra2.38J. Louda1.53—
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