TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098993
Played Sep 9Finished
Michal Vondrak
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117711113––
Martin Sychra
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Vondrak to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vondrak above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 70 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Michal Vondrak at 65.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vondrak 36–26 Martin Sychra Martin Sychra has won 26 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vondrak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-26 in 62
Vondrak
Correct
gap of 10 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vondrak 1706 vs Sychra 1579
Vondrak
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vondrak 100% vs Sychra 0%
Vondrak
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vondrak 70% vs Sychra 20%
Vondrak
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vondrak +5 · Sychra -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Vondrak) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVondrak 1.57 / Sychra 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Vondrak)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098993
Vondrak1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 72 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it72% 47 of 65
Sychra2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog49% won 183 of 377
Down 0–1, comes back26% 51 of 194
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVondrak7wins
AwaySychra3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVondrak leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVondrak83.3%5 of 6
AwaySychra50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vondrak6Sychra4n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S2Vondrak7Sychra3n = 10Vondrak took 7 of 10
S3Vondrak8Sychra2n = 10Vondrak took 8 of 10
S4Vondrak2Sychra6n = 8Sychra took 6 of 8
S5Vondrak3Sychra2n = 5Vondrak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVondrakSychraV − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.839.0+3.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVondrakSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 654 vs 798 / 151248.9%52.8%320 / 654 vs 798 / 1512Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VondrakVondrak 1.57/Sychra 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Vondrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vondrak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 30 · 07:30M. Vondrak—911138113M. Sychra—116111172
WJul 29 · 12:59M. Vondrak—11811113M. Sychra—511981
LJul 29 · 12:30M. Vondrak—81111872M. Sychra—119511113
LJul 18 · 20:00M. Vondrak—81211482M. Sychra—1110611113
WJul 18 · 17:30M. Vondrak—11119113M. Sychra—831151
WJul 18 · 16:00M. Vondrak—116112113M. Sychra—91171192
LJul 3 · 09:00M. Vondrak—11131171M. Sychra—91513113
WJul 3 · 06:00M. Vondrak—1112113M. Sychra—51090
WJun 10 · 13:00M. Vondrak—1118113M. Sychra—21650
WJun 10 · 12:00M. Vondrak—611118123M. Sychra—115911102
M. Vondrak10
WSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161WSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113WSep 4 · 07:30M. Vondrak1.401111113J. Stolfa2.759790WSep 4 · 06:30D. Hofman1.7311980M. Vondrak2.001311113WSep 1 · 12:58V. Vejvoda1.80118941M. Vondrak1.9181111113LSep 1 · 12:00V. Vejvoda1.831112113M. Vondrak1.8381060LSep 1 · 11:00J. Zuzanek1.911011511113M. Vondrak1.8012911562WSep 1 · 10:30M. Vondrak1.501111127113J. Tazler2.5053141172WAug 28 · 09:00M. Vondrak1.80911117143V. Cermak1.91116611122LAug 28 · 08:00M. Vondrak1.80911981M. Sychra1.9111911113
M. Sychra10
LSep 8 · 12:59R. Urbaniec1.28911118113M. Sychra3.5011561172LSep 8 · 12:30R. Urbaniec1.3611812113M. Sychra3.009111031LSep 8 · 11:30M. Sychra2.751460J. Ruzicka1.401111113LSep 8 · 10:30F. Pusch1.5011811113M. Sychra2.50811531LSep 8 · 08:59M. Sychra2.006550K. Schopf1.731111113WSep 8 · 08:30M. Sychra1.91711156113K. Schopf1.80117131142LSep 8 · 07:00M. Sychra2.0091111882S. Kasnik1.73112611113LSep 8 · 06:00M. Klement2.251111144113M. Sychra1.5744161172LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WAug 28 · 08:00M. Vondrak1.80911981M. Sychra1.9111911113
Upcoming Matches
M. Vondrak
M. Sychra
Sep 9 · 19:30M. Sychra1.44R. Rose2.63—Sep 9 · 20:30M. Sychra2.38J. Louda1.53—Sep 9 · 23:00M. Sychra1.80M. Regner1.91—Sep 10 · 24:00M. Sychra1.80M. Skakal1.91—Sep 10 · 01:30M. Sychra1.73J. Tazler2.00—Sep 10 · 02:30M. Sychra2.00S. Kasnik1.73—Sep 10 · 22:30M. Sychra1.80M. Regner1.91—Sep 11 · 24:00M. Sychra—S. Kasnik——Sep 11 · 01:00M. Sychra1.57M. Klement2.25—Sep 11 · 02:00M. Sychra2.38J. Louda1.53—
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