Michal Vondrak vs Vladimir Cermak 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13034692

Played Aug 28Finished

Michal Vondrak

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

9111161167111412

Vladimir Cermak

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 5

How it is goingMichal Vondrak above · Vladimir Cermak below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 7-11

Set 5 · 14-12

Point 98 set 5, 14-12

98 points played in total.

H2H Michal Vondrak 7–6 Vladimir Cermak Vladimir Cermak has won 6 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vondrak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Cermak form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVondrak 1.80 / Cermak 1.91

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Vondrak)+2.5pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13034692

Vondrak1.80

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite58% won 70 of 120

Up 2–0, closes it85% 28 of 33

Up 1–0, closes it69% 47 of 68

Cermak1.91

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog46% won 96 of 211

Down 0–1, comes back26% 31 of 119

Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 65

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVondrak5wins

AwayCermak5wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVondrak66.7%4 of 6

AwayCermak75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vondrak6Cermak4n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10

S2Vondrak6Cermak4n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10

S3Vondrak6Cermak4n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10

S4Vondrak3Cermak4n = 7Cermak took 4 of 7

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricVondrakCermakV − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.035.7+1.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVondrakCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 665 vs 544 / 105449.3%51.6%328 / 665 vs 544 / 1054Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Vondrak

Vondrak 1.80/Cermak 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Vondrak · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Vondrak won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 28 · 07:30M. Vondrak—81111113V. Cermak—119981

WAug 16 · 14:30M. Vondrak—11117113V. Cermak—841191

WJul 12 · 11:30M. Vondrak—1111113V. Cermak—8690

WJul 2 · 11:30M. Vondrak—11411113V. Cermak—411741

LJun 21 · 15:30M. Vondrak—9590V. Cermak—1111113

LJun 10 · 11:00M. Vondrak—11116992V. Cermak—661111113

WOct 14 · 14:00M. Vondrak—1114113V. Cermak—81250

LOct 9 · 10:00M. Vondrak—5101161V. Cermak—11129113

LJul 23 · 17:00M. Vondrak—114119112V. Cermak—711711133

LJul 23 · 16:00M. Vondrak—713881V. Cermak—111111113

M. Vondrak10

WSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161 WSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113 WSep 4 · 07:30M. Vondrak1.401111113J. Stolfa2.759790 WSep 4 · 06:30D. Hofman1.7311980M. Vondrak2.001311113 WSep 1 · 12:58V. Vejvoda1.80118941M. Vondrak1.9181111113 LSep 1 · 12:00V. Vejvoda1.831112113M. Vondrak1.8381060 LSep 1 · 11:00J. Zuzanek1.911011511113M. Vondrak1.8012911562 WSep 1 · 10:30M. Vondrak1.501111127113J. Tazler2.5053141172 LAug 28 · 08:00M. Vondrak1.80911981M. Sychra1.9111911113 WAug 28 · 07:30V. Cermak2.20119981M. Vondrak1.6181111113

V. Cermak10

LSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101 LSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113 WSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113 WSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113 LSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113 WSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153 LSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272 WSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113 LSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113 LAug 28 · 07:30V. Cermak2.20119981M. Vondrak1.6181111113

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