TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030158
Played Aug 28Finished
Michal Vondrak
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119911811––
Martin Sychra
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Vondrak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Vondrak above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Michal Vondrak at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vondrak 36–26 Martin Sychra Martin Sychra has won 26 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:15What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vondrak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-26 in 62
Vondrak
Wrong
gap of 10 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vondrak 1656 vs Sychra 1683
Sychra
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vondrak 40% vs Sychra 80%
Sychra
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vondrak 50% vs Sychra 70%
Sychra
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vondrak +1 · Sychra -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vondrak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVondrak 1.80 / Sychra 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vondrak)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030158
Vondrak1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 70 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it69% 47 of 68
Sychra1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 173 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back24% 46 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVondrak7wins
AwaySychra3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVondrak leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVondrak83.3%5 of 6
AwaySychra50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vondrak6Sychra4n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S2Vondrak7Sychra3n = 10Vondrak took 7 of 10
S3Vondrak8Sychra2n = 10Vondrak took 8 of 10
S4Vondrak2Sychra6n = 8Sychra took 6 of 8
S5Vondrak3Sychra2n = 5Vondrak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVondrakSychraV − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.839.0+3.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVondrakSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime328 / 665 vs 790 / 150049.3%52.7%328 / 665 vs 790 / 1500Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VondrakVondrak 1.80/Sychra 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vondrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 30 · 07:30M. Vondrak—911138113M. Sychra—116111172
WJul 29 · 12:59M. Vondrak—11811113M. Sychra—511981
LJul 29 · 12:30M. Vondrak—81111872M. Sychra—119511113
LJul 18 · 20:00M. Vondrak—81211482M. Sychra—1110611113
WJul 18 · 17:30M. Vondrak—11119113M. Sychra—831151
WJul 18 · 16:00M. Vondrak—116112113M. Sychra—91171192
LJul 3 · 09:00M. Vondrak—11131171M. Sychra—91513113
WJul 3 · 06:00M. Vondrak—1112113M. Sychra—51090
WJun 10 · 13:00M. Vondrak—1118113M. Sychra—21650
WJun 10 · 12:00M. Vondrak—611118123M. Sychra—115911102
M. Vondrak10
WSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161WSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113WSep 4 · 07:30M. Vondrak1.401111113J. Stolfa2.759790WSep 4 · 06:30D. Hofman1.7311980M. Vondrak2.001311113WSep 1 · 12:58V. Vejvoda1.80118941M. Vondrak1.9181111113LSep 1 · 12:00V. Vejvoda1.831112113M. Vondrak1.8381060LSep 1 · 11:00J. Zuzanek1.911011511113M. Vondrak1.8012911562WSep 1 · 10:30M. Vondrak1.501111127113J. Tazler2.5053141172WAug 28 · 09:00M. Vondrak1.80911117143V. Cermak1.91116611122WAug 28 · 07:30V. Cermak2.20119981M. Vondrak1.6181111113
M. Sychra10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680LSep 5 · 17:29D. Hofman1.671112112113M. Sychra2.0891471192
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