TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052420
Played Sep 1Finished
Michal Vondrak
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151131214711117
Jakub Tazler
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:09 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Vondrak to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vondrak above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Michal Vondrak at 62.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vondrak 20–7 Jakub Tazler Jakub Tazler has won 7 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:09What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vondrak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-7 in 27
Vondrak
Correct
gap of 13 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vondrak 1675 vs Tazler 1611
Vondrak
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vondrak 60% vs Tazler 80%
Tazler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vondrak 50% vs Tazler 70%
Tazler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vondrak +1 · Tazler +4
Tazler
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Vondrak) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVondrak 1.50 / Tazler 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Vondrak)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052420
Vondrak1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 70 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it70% 46 of 66
Tazler2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 92 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back30% 31 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back17% 10 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVondrak6wins
AwayTazler4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVondrak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVondrak66.7%4 of 6
AwayTazler50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vondrak6Tazler4n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S2Vondrak6Tazler4n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S3Vondrak4Tazler6n = 10Tazler took 6 of 10
S4Vondrak4Tazler5n = 9Tazler took 5 of 9
S5Vondrak2Tazler1n = 3Vondrak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVondrakTazlerV − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.440.0+1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVondrakTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 655 vs 381 / 70349%54.2%321 / 655 vs 381 / 703Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VondrakVondrak 1.50/Tazler 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Vondrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vondrak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 10:30M. Vondrak—1111127113J. Tazler—53141172
WAug 19 · 13:00M. Vondrak—91111113J. Tazler—118881
LAug 19 · 11:00M. Vondrak—111112942J. Tazler—8131011113
WAug 16 · 19:30M. Vondrak—11118113J. Tazler—591191
LAug 12 · 17:30M. Vondrak—1314571J. Tazler—111611113
LAug 12 · 15:30M. Vondrak—9880J. Tazler—1111113
WAug 9 · 19:30M. Vondrak—11116113J. Tazler—691161
WJul 18 · 21:00M. Vondrak—81111113J. Tazler—114581
LJul 18 · 19:00M. Vondrak—513481J. Tazler—111111113
WJul 18 · 15:30M. Vondrak—1871110123J. Tazler—1611312102
M. Vondrak10
WSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161WSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113WSep 4 · 07:30M. Vondrak1.401111113J. Stolfa2.759790WSep 4 · 06:30D. Hofman1.7311980M. Vondrak2.001311113WSep 1 · 12:58V. Vejvoda1.80118941M. Vondrak1.9181111113LSep 1 · 12:00V. Vejvoda1.831112113M. Vondrak1.8381060LSep 1 · 11:00J. Zuzanek1.911011511113M. Vondrak1.8012911562WAug 28 · 09:00M. Vondrak1.80911117143V. Cermak1.91116611122LAug 28 · 08:00M. Vondrak1.80911981M. Sychra1.9111911113WAug 28 · 07:30V. Cermak2.20119981M. Vondrak1.6181111113
J. Tazler10
LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113LSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113LSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100WSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142LSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870WSep 6 · 03:30J. Tazler1.671112123K. Schopf2.10310100
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.