TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098207
Played Sep 9Finished
Radek Rose
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111012117911––
Jiri Louda
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:29 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeRadek Rose to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Jiri Louda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 79 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Radek Rose at 56.2%
79 points played in total.
H2H Radek Rose 20–9 Jiri Louda Jiri Louda has won 9 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:29What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rose
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-9 in 29
Rose
Wrong
gap of 11 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rose 1671 vs Louda 1702
Louda
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rose 60% vs Louda 80%
Louda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rose 70% vs Louda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rose +2 · Louda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Rose) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Louda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 1.67 / Louda 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Rose)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098207
Rose1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 32 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it71% 22 of 31
Louda2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 64 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back14% 12 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRose4wins
AwayLouda6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRose80%4 of 5
AwayLouda100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rose5Louda5n = 10split evenly
S2Rose6Louda4n = 10Rose took 6 of 10
S3Rose4Louda6n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S4Rose3Louda4n = 7Louda took 4 of 7
S5Rose1Louda2n = 3Louda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRoseLoudaR − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.436.4+1.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseLoudaBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 343 vs 612 / 120446.4%50.8%159 / 343 vs 612 / 1204Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RoseRose 1.67/Louda 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Rose · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 18:00R. Rose—159711113J. Louda—131111362
WAug 18 · 21:30R. Rose—1111113J. Louda—5360
LAug 18 · 19:00R. Rose—10890J. Louda—1211113
WJun 24 · 18:00R. Rose—11116113J. Louda—381171
LMay 4 · 21:30R. Rose—511101122J. Louda—115128113
LMay 4 · 18:00R. Rose—891171J. Louda—11118113
LFeb 19 · 19:00R. Rose—1111910102J. Louda—681112123
WFeb 16 · 20:00R. Rose—1111113J. Louda—8890
LFeb 5 · 22:30R. Rose—761171J. Louda—11117113
LFeb 5 · 19:30R. Rose—9111031J. Louda—11712113
R. Rose10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841WSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870LSep 3 · 21:28M. Sychra1.44111496133R. Rose2.639121111112LSep 3 · 20:00R. Rose3.2568111392M. Sychra1.331111911113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113WSep 3 · 18:00R. Rose1.67159711113J. Louda2.10131111362WAug 27 · 20:58R. Rose1.5341111133M. Klement2.381176111WAug 27 · 20:30R. Urbaniec2.00912331R. Rose1.73111011113
J. Louda10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:00J. Louda1.831111113K. Schopf1.838660WSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113WSep 6 · 13:01J. Louda1.531112113P. Saleny2.3871040WSep 6 · 12:30J. Louda1.831312113P. Saleny1.83111070LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113LSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121LSep 3 · 18:00R. Rose1.67159711113J. Louda2.10131111362
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.