TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13097764
Played Sep 9Finished
Jakub Tazler
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1513511911117119
Milan Klement
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:28 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeMilan Klement to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Milan Klement below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 102 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Milan Klement at 60.1%
102 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Tazler 3–3 Milan Klement Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Klement
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tazler 1631 vs Klement 1649
Klement
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tazler 20% vs Klement 60%
Klement
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tazler 30% vs Klement 70%
Klement
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tazler -1 · Klement -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Klement) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTazler 2.38 / Klement 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Klement)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13097764
Tazler2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 96 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back27% 31 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back15% 10 of 65
Klement1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 116 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it90% 61 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it73% 88 of 121
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeTazler3wins
AwayKlement3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTazler100%3 of 3
AwayKlement100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tazler3Klement3n = 6split evenly
S2Tazler1Klement5n = 6Klement took 5 of 6
S3Tazler2Klement4n = 6Klement took 4 of 6
S4Tazler3Klement1n = 4Tazler took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricTazlerKlementT − KBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match36.038.5−2.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTazlerKlementBasisWin rate · lifetime391 / 712 vs 454 / 88054.9%51.6%391 / 712 vs 454 / 880Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementTazler 2.38/Klement 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 3 · 07:00J. Tazler—11913113M. Klement—6111161
WAug 10 · 02:30J. Tazler—11235113M. Klement—9211151
WAug 5 · 20:00J. Tazler—113911123M. Klement—511118102
LJul 12 · 20:00J. Tazler—117100M. Klement—1311123
LJul 12 · 24:00J. Tazler—6750M. Klement—1111113
LJun 21 · 22:30J. Tazler—581161M. Klement—11114113
J. Tazler10
LSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal1.731111113J. Tazler2.008590LSep 8 · 12:58J. Tazler2.1096100S. Kasnik1.671111123WSep 8 · 12:00J. Tazler2.001111113S. Kasnik1.737590LSep 8 · 11:30K. Schopf2.631161111113J. Tazler1.4461113562LSep 8 · 10:00J. Tazler2.007870M. Regner1.731111113LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113LSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113LSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100
M. Klement10
WSep 9 · 19:30M. Klement1.831111113D. Hofman1.834570LSep 8 · 09:28S. Kasnik2.2581111113M. Klement1.57116581LSep 8 · 08:00M. Klement1.6131110111S. Kasnik2.2011912133WSep 8 · 07:30K. Schopf2.635580M. Klement1.441111113WSep 8 · 06:00M. Klement2.251111144113M. Sychra1.5744161172WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113WSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113
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