TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099015
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Tazler
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9116111012––––
Sebastian Kasnik
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Sebastian Kasnik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 59 set 3, 10-12
59 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Tazler 5–10 Sebastian Kasnik Jakub Tazler has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kasnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTazler 2.10 / Kasnik 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kasnik)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099015
Tazler2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 95 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back28% 31 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back16% 10 of 63
Kasnik1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 113 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it92% 66 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it72% 91 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTazler4wins
AwayKasnik6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKasnik leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTazler50%2 of 4
AwayKasnik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tazler4Kasnik6n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S2Tazler5Kasnik5n = 10split evenly
S3Tazler4Kasnik6n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S4Tazler5Kasnik3n = 8Tazler took 5 of 8
S5Tazler2Kasnik3n = 5Kasnik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTazlerKasnikT − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.640.9−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTazlerKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime391 / 713 vs 482 / 101254.8%47.6%391 / 713 vs 482 / 1012Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasnikTazler 2.10/Kasnik 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Kasnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kasnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 12:00J. Tazler—1111113S. Kasnik—7590
LSep 3 · 08:58J. Tazler—6118121S. Kasnik—11411143
WSep 3 · 06:00J. Tazler—11911123S. Kasnik—4111101
WAug 25 · 13:00J. Tazler—711711113S. Kasnik—11711592
LAug 25 · 10:30J. Tazler—8111041S. Kasnik—11612113
LAug 25 · 06:00J. Tazler—11581372S. Kasnik—9111111113
WAug 21 · 02:00J. Tazler—1091112113S. Kasnik—121191092
LAug 20 · 03:30J. Tazler—111114472S. Kasnik—891611113
LAug 20 · 01:00J. Tazler—815111182S. Kasnik—111753113
LAug 19 · 10:00J. Tazler—4750S. Kasnik—1111113
J. Tazler10
WSep 8 · 12:00J. Tazler2.001111113S. Kasnik1.737590LSep 8 · 11:30K. Schopf2.631161111113J. Tazler1.4461113562LSep 8 · 10:00J. Tazler2.007870M. Regner1.731111113LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113LSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113LSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100WSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143
S. Kasnik10
LSep 8 · 12:00J. Tazler2.001111113S. Kasnik1.737590LSep 8 · 11:00M. Regner2.63911611153S. Kasnik1.44118115132WSep 8 · 10:30S. Kasnik1.33111189113K. Schopf3.2558111182WSep 8 · 09:28S. Kasnik2.2581111113M. Klement1.57116581WSep 8 · 08:00M. Klement1.6131110111S. Kasnik2.2011912133WSep 8 · 07:00M. Sychra2.0091111882S. Kasnik1.73112611113WSep 8 · 06:30S. Kasnik1.28121011113K. Schopf3.501012781LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113
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