Martin Sychra vs Michal Regner 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13107529

Played Sep 10Finished

Martin Sychra

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

711115114119––

Michal Regner

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Michal Regner below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 11-4

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 69 set 4, 11-9

69 points played in total.

H2H Martin Sychra 39–42 Michal Regner Martin Sychra has won 39 of their 81 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4SplitHead to head

Same-day rematch · 4h before this match

Regner beat Sychra 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Regner)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sychra form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSychra 1.83 / Regner 1.83

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Regner)+4.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13107529

Sychra1.83

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Regner1.83

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSychra6wins

AwayRegner4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderSychra leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSychra75%3 of 4

AwayRegner50%3 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sychra4Regner6n = 10Regner took 6 of 10

S2Sychra6Regner4n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10

S3Sychra6Regner4n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10

S4Sychra6Regner3n = 9Sychra took 6 of 9

S5Sychra2Regner2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricSychraRegnerS − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.941.2−0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSychraRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime801 / 1520 vs 508 / 105752.7%48.1%801 / 1520 vs 508 / 1057Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Regner

Sychra 1.83/Regner 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Regner · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Sychra won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 28 · 09:29M. Sychra—11911113M. Regner—911981

LAug 28 · 07:00M. Sychra—117131152M. Regner—9111113113

WAug 26 · 11:30M. Sychra—81111113M. Regner—116651

LAug 25 · 01:30M. Sychra—81111101M. Regner—11813123

WAug 15 · 23:30M. Sychra—4121111113M. Regner—111013942

WAug 9 · 02:00M. Sychra—811213113M. Regner—119111162

LAug 8 · 07:00M. Sychra—107111132M. Regner—121189113

WAug 7 · 09:28M. Sychra—1111113M. Regner—7790

LAug 7 · 08:30M. Sychra—1011581M. Regner—12911113

WAug 5 · 22:30M. Sychra—11311113M. Regner—911791

M. Sychra10

WSep 10 · 02:30M. Sychra1.9611118113M. Pikous1.67931181 LSep 10 · 01:30J. Tazler2.0061111113M. Sychra1.73112321 WSep 10 · 24:00M. Sychra1.801114113M. Skakal1.9161270 LSep 9 · 23:00M. Regner1.911115113M. Sychra1.8081390 LSep 9 · 20:58R. Rose2.63111157113M. Sychra1.4484111152 LSep 9 · 20:30J. Louda1.5313911113M. Sychra2.381111691 WSep 9 · 19:30M. Sychra1.44111116113R. Rose2.639131491 LSep 9 · 18:30M. Vondrak1.5711117113M. Sychra2.25971131 LSep 8 · 12:59R. Urbaniec1.28911118113M. Sychra3.5011561172 LSep 8 · 12:30R. Urbaniec1.3611812113M. Sychra3.009111031

M. Regner10

WSep 10 · 02:00M. Skakal1.57111179102M. Regner2.25661111123 LSep 10 · 24:30M. Regner1.508613101J. Tazler2.50111111123 WSep 9 · 23:00M. Regner1.911115113M. Sychra1.8081390 LSep 9 · 22:00M. Pikous1.821311113M. Regner1.8811790 WSep 8 · 13:29M. Regner2.38991111113K. Schopf1.5311118772 WSep 8 · 12:30M. Regner2.20101211113K. Schopf1.611210551 WSep 8 · 11:00M. Regner2.63911611153S. Kasnik1.44118115132 WSep 8 · 10:00J. Tazler2.007870M. Regner1.731111113 WSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113 WSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113

Upcoming Matches

M. Sychra

Sep 10 · 22:30M. Sychra1.83M. Regner1.83—Sep 11 · 24:00M. Sychra2.00S. Kasnik1.73—Sep 11 · 01:00M. Sychra1.57M. Klement2.25—Sep 11 · 02:00M. Sychra2.38J. Louda1.53—

M. Regner

Sep 10 · 22:30M. Regner1.83M. Sychra1.83—Sep 10 · 23:30M. Regner1.91M. Klement1.80—Sep 11 · 24:30M. Regner1.83J. Louda1.83—Sep 11 · 01:30M. Regner2.50S. Kasnik1.50—

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