TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099122
Played Sep 8Finished
Michal Regner
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911911118117117
Karel Schopf
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMichal Regner above · Karel Schopf below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 95 set 5, 11-7
95 points played in total.
H2H Michal Regner 9–20 Karel Schopf Michal Regner has won 9 of their 29 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Regner beat Schopf 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Schopf)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schopf form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 2.38 / Schopf 1.53
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Regner)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099122
Regner2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 115 of 260
Down 0–1, comes back21% 27 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Schopf1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 48 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner3wins
AwaySchopf7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSchopf leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner28.6%2 of 7
AwaySchopf66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner7Schopf3n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S2Regner4Schopf6n = 10Schopf took 6 of 10
S3Regner1Schopf9n = 10Schopf took 9 of 10
S4Regner3Schopf6n = 9Schopf took 6 of 9
S5Regner2Schopf2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerSchopfR − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.743.0−4.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerSchopfBasisWin rate · lifetime509 / 1057 vs 231 / 46748.2%49.5%509 / 1057 vs 231 / 467Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchopfRegner 2.38/Schopf 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.6%
Schopf · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 12:30M. Regner—101211113K. Schopf—1210551
LSep 5 · 23:30M. Regner—118511102K. Schopf—511117123
LAug 4 · 11:30M. Regner—118551K. Schopf—61111113
LJul 22 · 03:28M. Regner—115891K. Schopf—71111113
LJul 22 · 01:00M. Regner—111171172K. Schopf—691113113
LJun 23 · 23:00M. Regner—7540K. Schopf—1111113
WJun 7 · 23:00M. Regner—111281113K. Schopf—710111172
LMay 11 · 22:00M. Regner—311651K. Schopf—11411113
LApr 23 · 22:30M. Regner—278991K. Schopf—251111113
WMar 9 · 01:00M. Regner—1113512113K. Schopf—715111062
M. Regner10
WSep 8 · 12:30M. Regner2.20101211113K. Schopf1.611210551WSep 8 · 11:00M. Regner2.63911611153S. Kasnik1.44118115132WSep 8 · 10:00J. Tazler2.007870M. Regner1.731111113WSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113WSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113LSep 6 · 01:00J. Tazler2.5011811113M. Regner1.50511551LSep 5 · 23:30M. Regner2.25118511102K. Schopf1.57511117123LSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161LSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113
K. Schopf10
LSep 8 · 12:30M. Regner2.20101211113K. Schopf1.611210551WSep 8 · 11:30K. Schopf2.631161111113J. Tazler1.4461113562LSep 8 · 10:30S. Kasnik1.33111189113K. Schopf3.2558111182WSep 8 · 08:59M. Sychra2.006550K. Schopf1.731111113LSep 8 · 08:30M. Sychra1.91711156113K. Schopf1.80117131142LSep 8 · 07:30K. Schopf2.635580M. Klement1.441111113LSep 8 · 06:30S. Kasnik1.28121011113K. Schopf3.501012781LSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123WSep 5 · 23:30M. Regner2.25118511102K. Schopf1.57511117123
Upcoming Matches
M. Regner
Sep 9 · 22:00M. Regner2.50S. Kasnik1.50—Sep 9 · 23:00M. Regner1.91M. Sychra1.80—Sep 10 · 24:30M. Regner1.50J. Tazler2.50—Sep 10 · 02:00M. Regner2.25M. Skakal1.57—Sep 10 · 22:30M. Regner1.90M. Sychra1.80—Sep 10 · 23:30M. Regner—M. Klement——Sep 11 · 24:30M. Regner1.83J. Louda1.83—Sep 11 · 01:30M. Regner2.50S. Kasnik1.50—
K. Schopf
Nothing scheduled
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