TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098132
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Tazler
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611112113112––
Martin Sychra
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 57 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Martin Sychra at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Tazler 31–36 Martin Sychra Jakub Tazler has won 31 of their 67 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:08What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sychra
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-36 in 67
Sychra
Wrong
gap of 5 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tazler 1675 vs Sychra 1574
Tazler
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tazler 80% vs Sychra 40%
Tazler
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tazler 60% vs Sychra 20%
Tazler
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tazler +2 · Sychra +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sychra)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTazler 2.00 / Sychra 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tazler)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098132
Tazler2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 96 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back27% 31 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back15% 10 of 65
Sychra1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 249 of 418
Up 2–0, closes it93% 113 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it80% 176 of 219
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTazler5wins
AwaySychra5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTazler100%4 of 4
AwaySychra83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tazler4Sychra6n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10
S2Tazler6Sychra4n = 10Tazler took 6 of 10
S3Tazler6Sychra4n = 10Tazler took 6 of 10
S4Tazler4Sychra3n = 7Tazler took 4 of 7
S5Tazler2Sychra3n = 5Sychra took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTazlerSychraT − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.5+2.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTazlerSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 719 vs 800 / 151855.1%52.7%396 / 719 vs 800 / 1518Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraTazler 2.00/Sychra 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 11:30J. Tazler—1111123M. Sychra—35100
LAug 31 · 07:30J. Tazler—61281172M. Sychra—1110114113
WAug 21 · 03:08J. Tazler—1111113M. Sychra—5660
LAug 20 · 22:30J. Tazler—391161M. Sychra—11117113
WAug 20 · 02:00J. Tazler—12911113M. Sychra—1011891
WAug 17 · 01:30J. Tazler—111194113M. Sychra—95111182
WAug 16 · 20:58J. Tazler—8101111143M. Sychra—111272122
LAug 16 · 20:00J. Tazler—61181392M. Sychra—1141111113
LAug 13 · 13:00J. Tazler—41111892M. Sychra—117611113
LAug 13 · 11:30J. Tazler—7990M. Sychra—1111113
J. Tazler10
WSep 10 · 24:30M. Regner1.508613101J. Tazler2.50111111123WSep 9 · 23:30M. Pikous1.779990J. Tazler1.931111113LSep 9 · 22:30J. Tazler1.9110812101M. Skakal1.80121110123WSep 9 · 21:30M. Skakal1.72411110J. Tazler2.001113133WSep 9 · 20:00D. Hofman1.67101450J. Tazler2.101216113LSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal1.731111113J. Tazler2.008590WSep 9 · 18:30J. Tazler2.38155911113M. Klement1.53131111792LSep 8 · 12:58J. Tazler2.1096100S. Kasnik1.671111123WSep 8 · 12:00J. Tazler2.001111113S. Kasnik1.737590LSep 8 · 11:30K. Schopf2.631161111113J. Tazler1.4461113562
M. Sychra10
WSep 10 · 24:00M. Sychra1.801114113M. Skakal1.9161270LSep 9 · 23:00M. Regner1.911115113M. Sychra1.8081390LSep 9 · 20:58R. Rose2.63111157113M. Sychra1.4484111152LSep 9 · 20:30J. Louda1.5313911113M. Sychra2.381111691WSep 9 · 19:30M. Sychra1.44111116113R. Rose2.639131491LSep 9 · 18:30M. Vondrak1.5711117113M. Sychra2.25971131LSep 8 · 12:59R. Urbaniec1.28911118113M. Sychra3.5011561172LSep 8 · 12:30R. Urbaniec1.3611812113M. Sychra3.009111031LSep 8 · 11:30M. Sychra2.751460J. Ruzicka1.401111113LSep 8 · 10:30F. Pusch1.5011811113M. Sychra2.50811531
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