TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098126
Played Sep 9Finished
Jakub Tazler
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101281112101012––
Martin Skakal
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Skakal to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Martin Skakal below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 85 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Martin Skakal at 61.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Tazler 2–4 Martin Skakal Jakub Tazler has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 1h before this match
Tazler beat Skakal 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:09What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skakal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Skakal
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tazler 1670 vs Skakal 1706
Skakal
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tazler 60% vs Skakal 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tazler 50% vs Skakal 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tazler +2 · Skakal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skakal) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTazler 1.91 / Skakal 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skakal)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098126
Tazler1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 96 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back27% 31 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back15% 10 of 65
Skakal1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 38 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeTazler2wins
AwaySkakal4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSkakal leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTazler40%2 of 5
AwaySkakaln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tazler5Skakal1n = 6Tazler took 5 of 6
S2Tazler1Skakal5n = 6Skakal took 5 of 6
S3Tazler3Skakal3n = 6split evenly
S4Tazler2Skakal2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricTazlerSkakalT − SBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match40.342.2−1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTazlerSkakalBasisWin rate · lifetime394 / 716 vs 73 / 14255%51.4%394 / 716 vs 73 / 142Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalTazler 1.91/Skakal 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skakal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 9 · 21:30J. Tazler—1113133M. Skakal—411110
LSep 9 · 19:00J. Tazler—8590M. Skakal—1111113
LAug 19 · 22:30J. Tazler—1181681M. Skakal—91118113
LAug 13 · 23:00J. Tazler—23751172M. Skakal—2111114113
LAug 5 · 03:30J. Tazler—11712972M. Skakal—7111011113
WAug 4 · 22:30J. Tazler—12711113M. Skakal—1011971
J. Tazler10
WSep 9 · 21:30M. Skakal1.72411110J. Tazler2.001113133WSep 9 · 20:00D. Hofman1.67101450J. Tazler2.101216113LSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal1.731111113J. Tazler2.008590WSep 9 · 18:30J. Tazler2.38155911113M. Klement1.53131111792LSep 8 · 12:58J. Tazler2.1096100S. Kasnik1.671111123WSep 8 · 12:00J. Tazler2.001111113S. Kasnik1.737590LSep 8 · 11:30K. Schopf2.631161111113J. Tazler1.4461113562LSep 8 · 10:00J. Tazler2.007870M. Regner1.731111113LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113
M. Skakal10
LSep 9 · 21:30M. Skakal1.72411110J. Tazler2.001113133WSep 9 · 20:30M. Skakal2.1071111113M. Klement1.67115791WSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal1.731111113J. Tazler2.008590WSep 9 · 18:00D. Hofman2.0011118342M. Skakal1.73561111113LAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda1.6511116113M. Skakal2.10691161LAug 31 · 02:30M. Skakal2.1071260V. Vejvoda1.671114113WAug 31 · 01:30M. Sobisek2.1011881182M. Skakal1.67811117113WAug 31 · 24:00M. Skakal1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.007450WAug 30 · 23:00M. Klement1.57111161082M. Skakal2.25581112113LAug 28 · 03:02M. Skakal1.73119811102R. Wagner2.00511114123
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