TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042049
Played Aug 31Finished
Martin Skakal
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117114115––––
Marek Chlebecek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Skakal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Skakal above · Marek Chlebecek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Martin Skakal at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skakal 0–2 Marek Chlebecek Martin Skakal has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:06What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skakal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skakal 1692 vs Chlebecek 1552
Skakal
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skakal 40% vs Chlebecek 60%
Chlebecek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skakal 40% vs Chlebecek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skakal +1 · Chlebecek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skakal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skakal form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkakal 1.73 / Chlebecek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skakal)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042049
Skakal1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 41 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Chlebecek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 26 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back25% 9 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkakal0wins
AwayChlebecek2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderChlebecek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSkakalChlebecekS − CBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match46.045.5+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkakalChlebecekBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 134 vs 107 / 22550.8%47.6%68 / 134 vs 107 / 225Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalSkakal 1.73/Chlebecek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skakal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 24 · 01:00M. Skakal—119861M. Chlebecek—51111113
LApr 1 · 22:30M. Skakal—10151111112M. Chlebecek—121774133
M. Skakal10
LAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda1.6511116113M. Skakal2.10691161LAug 31 · 02:30M. Skakal2.1071260V. Vejvoda1.671114113WAug 31 · 01:30M. Sobisek2.1011881182M. Skakal1.67811117113WAug 30 · 23:00M. Klement1.57111161082M. Skakal2.25581112113LAug 28 · 03:02M. Skakal1.73119811102R. Wagner2.00511114123LAug 28 · 02:00M. Skakal2.2051160J. Louda1.611113113LAug 28 · 01:00M. Skakal2.1011117832S. Kasnik1.67731111113WAug 28 · 24:00R. Wagner1.6791511832M. Skakal2.101113711113WAug 27 · 22:30D. Hofman1.8035100M. Skakal1.911111123LAug 24 · 03:00M. Skakal4.3311731192V. Cermak1.19811116113
M. Chlebecek10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101WSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890LSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670LSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123LSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113WSep 2 · 03:30M. Regner1.91911681M. Chlebecek1.8011511113
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