TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13033695
Played Aug 28Finished
Martin Skakal
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1159118111141012
Richard Wagner
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMartin Skakal above · Richard Wagner below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 92 set 5, 10-12
92 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skakal 2–4 Richard Wagner Martin Skakal has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skakal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skakal form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkakal 1.73 / Wagner 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skakal)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13033695
Skakal1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Wagner2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 29 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSkakal2wins
AwayWagner4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderWagner leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkakal50%2 of 4
AwayWagnern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skakal4Wagner2n = 6Skakal took 4 of 6
S2Skakal3Wagner3n = 6split evenly
S3Skakal1Wagner5n = 6Wagner took 5 of 6
S4Skakal1Wagner3n = 4Wagner took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSkakalWagnerS − WBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match39.039.00.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkakalWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 132 vs 86 / 16550.8%52.1%67 / 132 vs 86 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalSkakal 1.73/Wagner 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 28 · 24:00M. Skakal—1113711113R. Wagner—91511832
WAug 23 · 21:28M. Skakal—1511113R. Wagner—13560
LAug 23 · 03:00M. Skakal—911831R. Wagner—11911113
LAug 22 · 23:30M. Skakal—11118982R. Wagner—471111113
LJul 18 · 21:00M. Skakal—11128101R. Wagner—81411123
LJul 18 · 18:30M. Skakal—7990R. Wagner—1111113
M. Skakal10
LAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda1.6511116113M. Skakal2.10691161LAug 31 · 02:30M. Skakal2.1071260V. Vejvoda1.671114113WAug 31 · 01:30M. Sobisek2.1011881182M. Skakal1.67811117113WAug 31 · 24:00M. Skakal1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.007450WAug 30 · 23:00M. Klement1.57111161082M. Skakal2.25581112113LAug 28 · 02:00M. Skakal2.2051160J. Louda1.611113113LAug 28 · 01:00M. Skakal2.1011117832S. Kasnik1.67731111113WAug 28 · 24:00R. Wagner1.6791511832M. Skakal2.101113711113WAug 27 · 22:30D. Hofman1.8035100M. Skakal1.911111123LAug 24 · 03:00M. Skakal4.3311731192V. Cermak1.19811116113
R. Wagner10
WSep 5 · 21:28R. Wagner1.611111113R. Pacha2.206780WSep 5 · 20:00R. Wagner1.5051116123K. Schopf2.5011714101WSep 5 · 19:30D. Hofman2.101011711102R. Wagner1.67126119123WSep 5 · 18:00R. Wagner1.61111111113R. Pacha2.20613691LSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113LSep 5 · 16:00M. Sychra1.7311911113R. Wagner2.00911791LSep 5 · 15:00M. Pikous2.20101111123R. Wagner1.611288101WSep 5 · 14:30R. Wagner1.7313911113D. Hofman2.001111781WSep 4 · 13:00R. Wagner1.671191111113P. Saleny2.1013115452LAug 28 · 24:00R. Wagner1.6791511832M. Skakal2.101113711113
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