TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042068
Played Aug 31Finished
Martin Skakal
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111214611––––
Viktor Vejvoda
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Skakal above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 61 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skakal 0–3 Viktor Vejvoda Martin Skakal has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vejvoda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Vejvoda
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skakal 1708 vs Vejvoda 1745
Vejvoda
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skakal 60% vs Vejvoda 100%
Vejvoda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skakal 50% vs Vejvoda 80%
Vejvoda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skakal +3 · Vejvoda +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vejvoda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkakal 2.10 / Vejvoda 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vejvoda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042068
Skakal2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 25 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back31% 10 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Vejvoda1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 171 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it93% 79 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it83% 109 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkakal0wins
AwayVejvoda3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVejvoda leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skakal1Vejvoda2n = 3Vejvoda took 2 of 3
S2Skakal0Vejvoda3n = 3Vejvoda took 3 of 3
S3Skakal2Vejvoda1n = 3Skakal took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkakalVejvodaS − VBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.338.3−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkakalVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 136 vs 448 / 86351.5%51.9%70 / 136 vs 448 / 863Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaSkakal 2.10/Vejvoda 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vejvoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 18 · 22:30M. Skakal—11911962V. Vejvoda—511411113
LJul 18 · 19:00M. Skakal—8811111V. Vejvoda—11115133
LMay 4 · 01:00M. Skakal—8950V. Vejvoda—1111113
M. Skakal10
LAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda1.6511116113M. Skakal2.10691161WAug 31 · 01:30M. Sobisek2.1011881182M. Skakal1.67811117113WAug 31 · 24:00M. Skakal1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.007450WAug 30 · 23:00M. Klement1.57111161082M. Skakal2.25581112113LAug 28 · 03:02M. Skakal1.73119811102R. Wagner2.00511114123LAug 28 · 02:00M. Skakal2.2051160J. Louda1.611113113LAug 28 · 01:00M. Skakal2.1011117832S. Kasnik1.67731111113WAug 28 · 24:00R. Wagner1.6791511832M. Skakal2.101113711113WAug 27 · 22:30D. Hofman1.8035100M. Skakal1.911111123LAug 24 · 03:00M. Skakal4.3311731192V. Cermak1.19811116113
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102LSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080WSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110LSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151WAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda1.6511116113M. Skakal2.10691161
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