TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041045
Played Aug 30Finished
Milan Klement
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151186111012811
Martin Skakal
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Skakal to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Klement above · Martin Skakal below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Martin Skakal at 56.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Milan Klement 3–1 Martin Skakal Martin Skakal has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:38What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Klement
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Klement
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klement 1588 vs Skakal 1692
Skakal
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klement 0% vs Skakal 40%
Skakal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klement 40% vs Skakal 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klement -5 · Skakal -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Klement) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klement form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlement 1.57 / Skakal 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Klement)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041045
Klement1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 112 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it88% 61 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it73% 86 of 118
Skakal2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 25 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back31% 10 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKlement3wins
AwaySkakal1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKlement leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlement75%3 of 4
AwaySkakaln = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klement4Skakal0n = 4Klement took 4 of 4
S2Klement3Skakal1n = 4Klement took 3 of 4
S3Klement2Skakal2n = 4split evenly
S4Klement2Skakal1n = 3Klement took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKlementSkakalK − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match41.533.0+8.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlementSkakalBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 873 vs 68 / 13451.6%50.8%450 / 873 vs 68 / 134Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementKlement 1.57/Skakal 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Klement · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skakal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 30 · 23:00M. Klement—111161082M. Skakal—581112113
WJul 19 · 01:30M. Klement—111112113M. Skakal—561481
WApr 11 · 09:30M. Klement—11911113M. Skakal—911971
WApr 11 · 08:30M. Klement—1111113M. Skakal—8440
M. Klement10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113WSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 02:00M. Sychra1.531111113M. Klement2.388890WSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152LSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Wagner1.7351411113M. Klement2.001112971LSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141
M. Skakal10
LAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda1.6511116113M. Skakal2.10691161LAug 31 · 02:30M. Skakal2.1071260V. Vejvoda1.671114113WAug 31 · 01:30M. Sobisek2.1011881182M. Skakal1.67811117113WAug 31 · 24:00M. Skakal1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.007450LAug 28 · 03:02M. Skakal1.73119811102R. Wagner2.00511114123LAug 28 · 02:00M. Skakal2.2051160J. Louda1.611113113LAug 28 · 01:00M. Skakal2.1011117832S. Kasnik1.67731111113WAug 28 · 24:00R. Wagner1.6791511832M. Skakal2.101113711113WAug 27 · 22:30D. Hofman1.8035100M. Skakal1.911111123LAug 24 · 03:00M. Skakal4.3311731192V. Cermak1.19811116113
Upcoming Matches
M. Klement1 of 1 neutral
M. Skakal
Nothing scheduled
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