Martin Skakal vs Sebastian Kasnik 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13021351

Played Aug 28Finished

Martin Skakal

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

117113711811311

Sebastian Kasnik

Away

1.67

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%

Graded at full time

Sebastian Kasnik to win

57.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingMartin Skakal above · Sebastian Kasnik below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-3

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 8-11

Set 5 · 3-11

Point 83 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Sebastian Kasnik at 57.0%

83 points played in total.

H2H Martin Skakal 1–5 Sebastian Kasnik Martin Skakal has won 1 of their 6 meetings.

Last 6 · 1–5Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 14:48

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Kasnik

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

1-5 in 6

Kasnik

Correct

gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Skakal 1718 vs Kasnik 1694

Skakal

Wrong

both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Skakal 40% vs Kasnik 60%

Kasnik

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Skakal 70% vs Kasnik 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Skakal +2 · Kasnik +3

Kasnik

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kasnik)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSkakal 2.10 / Kasnik 1.67

Signal prob.43% / 57%

Edge (Kasnik)+1.2pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13021351

Skakal2.10

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog41% won 23 of 56

Down 0–1, comes back32% 10 of 31

Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14

Kasnik1.67

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite57% won 111 of 196

Up 2–0, closes it90% 66 of 73

Up 1–0, closes it72% 90 of 125

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 6 meetings

HomeSkakal1wins

AwayKasnik5wins

2 of 6 to a deciderKasnik leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSkakaln = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayKasnik100%5 of 5

Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Skakal1Kasnik5n = 6Kasnik took 5 of 6

S2Skakal1Kasnik5n = 6Kasnik took 5 of 6

S3Skakal3Kasnik3n = 6split evenly

S4Skakal3Kasnik1n = 4Skakal took 3 of 4

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home117%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away233%

1–3Four sets, away117%

0–3Straight, away233%

These 6 meetings

MetricSkakalKasnikS − KBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match33.238.8−5.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSkakalKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 130 vs 465 / 97351.5%47.8%67 / 130 vs 465 / 973Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kasnik

Skakal 2.10/Kasnik 1.67

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

57%

Kasnik · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Kasnik won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record6

LAug 19 · 23:30M. Skakal—58110S. Kasnik—1111133

LAug 18 · 03:30M. Skakal—7680S. Kasnik—1111113

WAug 17 · 23:00M. Skakal—11811113S. Kasnik—811771

LAug 17 · 20:00M. Skakal—7101111102S. Kasnik—111283123

LAug 12 · 01:00M. Skakal—691161S. Kasnik—11115113

LMay 14 · 22:30M. Skakal—51131122S. Kasnik—116119113

M. Skakal10

LAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda1.6511116113M. Skakal2.10691161 LAug 31 · 02:30M. Skakal2.1071260V. Vejvoda1.671114113 WAug 31 · 01:30M. Sobisek2.1011881182M. Skakal1.67811117113 WAug 31 · 24:00M. Skakal1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.007450 WAug 30 · 23:00M. Klement1.57111161082M. Skakal2.25581112113 LAug 28 · 03:02M. Skakal1.73119811102R. Wagner2.00511114123 LAug 28 · 02:00M. Skakal2.2051160J. Louda1.611113113 WAug 28 · 24:00R. Wagner1.6791511832M. Skakal2.101113711113 WAug 27 · 22:30D. Hofman1.8035100M. Skakal1.911111123 LAug 24 · 03:00M. Skakal4.3311731192V. Cermak1.19811116113

S. Kasnik10

LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101 LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480 WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113 LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113 LSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113 LSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872 WSep 4 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2012117113V. Vejvoda1.611061181 WSep 4 · 10:30R. Wagner1.571311510102S. Kasnik2.251191112123 LSep 4 · 08:58S. Kasnik2.25117981R. Wagner1.5781111113 LSep 4 · 08:00S. Kasnik2.75111051322P. Saleny1.405121111113

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