TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042071
Played Aug 31Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118811811117811
Martin Skakal
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Martin Skakal below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 94 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 58.3%
94 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 2–1 Martin Skakal Martin Skakal has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:03What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skakal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1593 vs Skakal 1701
Skakal
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 40% vs Skakal 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 20% vs Skakal 40%
Skakal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek +1 · Skakal +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Skakal) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skakal form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 2.10 / Skakal 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Skakal)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042071
Sobisek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 135 of 344
Down 0–1, comes back25% 49 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 117
Skakal1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 41 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSobisek2wins
AwaySkakal1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderSobisek leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobisek66.7%2 of 3
AwaySkakaln = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobisek3Skakal0n = 3Sobisek took 3 of 3
S2Sobisek1Skakal2n = 3Skakal took 2 of 3
S3Sobisek1Skakal2n = 3Skakal took 2 of 3
S4Sobisek2Skakal1n = 3Sobisek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSobisekSkakalSobisek − SkakalBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match44.343.7+0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekSkakalBasisWin rate · lifetime563 / 1185 vs 69 / 13547.5%51.1%563 / 1185 vs 69 / 135Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalSobisek 2.10/Skakal 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skakal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 24 · 02:30M. Sobisek—11611113M. Skakal—711581
LApr 15 · 03:30M. Sobisek—111194112M. Skakal—791111133
WApr 15 · 01:00M. Sobisek—118511133M. Skakal—811118112
M. Sobisek10
LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123WSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271
M. Skakal10
LAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda1.6511116113M. Skakal2.10691161LAug 31 · 02:30M. Skakal2.1071260V. Vejvoda1.671114113WAug 31 · 24:00M. Skakal1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.007450WAug 30 · 23:00M. Klement1.57111161082M. Skakal2.25581112113LAug 28 · 03:02M. Skakal1.73119811102R. Wagner2.00511114123LAug 28 · 02:00M. Skakal2.2051160J. Louda1.611113113LAug 28 · 01:00M. Skakal2.1011117832S. Kasnik1.67731111113WAug 28 · 24:00R. Wagner1.6791511832M. Skakal2.101113711113WAug 27 · 22:30D. Hofman1.8035100M. Skakal1.911111123LAug 24 · 03:00M. Skakal4.3311731192V. Cermak1.19811116113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.