TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13106327
Played Sep 9Finished
Martin Skakal
Home
1.72
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
41111131113––––
Jakub Tazler
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:04 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeMartin Skakal to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Skakal above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 63 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Martin Skakal at 63.6%
63 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skakal 4–1 Jakub Tazler Jakub Tazler has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Skakal beat Tazler 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Skakal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Skakal
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skakal 1711 vs Tazler 1665
Skakal
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skakal 60% vs Tazler 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skakal 60% vs Tazler 40%
Skakal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skakal +3 · Tazler +1
Skakal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skakal) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkakal 1.72 / Tazler 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Skakal)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13106327
Skakal1.72
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 38 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Tazler2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 96 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back27% 31 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back15% 10 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSkakal4wins
AwayTazler1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderSkakal leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkakaln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTazler25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skakal1Tazler4n = 5Tazler took 4 of 5
S2Skakal5Tazler0n = 5Skakal took 5 of 5
S3Skakal3Tazler2n = 5Skakal took 3 of 5
S4Skakal2Tazler2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSkakalTazlerS − TBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match45.441.0+4.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkakalTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 141 vs 393 / 71551.8%55%73 / 141 vs 393 / 715Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalSkakal 1.72/Tazler 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal—1111113J. Tazler—8590
WAug 19 · 22:30M. Skakal—91118113J. Tazler—1181681
WAug 13 · 23:00M. Skakal—2111114113J. Tazler—23751172
WAug 5 · 03:30M. Skakal—7111011113J. Tazler—11712972
LAug 4 · 22:30M. Skakal—1011971J. Tazler—12711113
M. Skakal10
WSep 9 · 20:30M. Skakal2.1071111113M. Klement1.67115791WSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal1.731111113J. Tazler2.008590WSep 9 · 18:00D. Hofman2.0011118342M. Skakal1.73561111113LAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda1.6511116113M. Skakal2.10691161LAug 31 · 02:30M. Skakal2.1071260V. Vejvoda1.671114113WAug 31 · 01:30M. Sobisek2.1011881182M. Skakal1.67811117113WAug 31 · 24:00M. Skakal1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.007450WAug 30 · 23:00M. Klement1.57111161082M. Skakal2.25581112113LAug 28 · 03:02M. Skakal1.73119811102R. Wagner2.00511114123LAug 28 · 02:00M. Skakal2.2051160J. Louda1.611113113
J. Tazler10
WSep 9 · 20:00D. Hofman1.67101450J. Tazler2.101216113LSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal1.731111113J. Tazler2.008590WSep 9 · 18:30J. Tazler2.38155911113M. Klement1.53131111792LSep 8 · 12:58J. Tazler2.1096100S. Kasnik1.671111123WSep 8 · 12:00J. Tazler2.001111113S. Kasnik1.737590LSep 8 · 11:30K. Schopf2.631161111113J. Tazler1.4461113562LSep 8 · 10:00J. Tazler2.007870M. Regner1.731111113LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113
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