TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13099011
Played Sep 10Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161412117––––
Martin Skakal
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Martin Skakal below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 61 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Martin Sychra at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 3–6 Martin Skakal Martin Sychra has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:04What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sychra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Skakal
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1554 vs Skakal 1717
Skakal
Wrong
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 20% vs Skakal 80%
Skakal
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 10% vs Skakal 70%
Skakal
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra -3 · Skakal +1
Sychra
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skakal) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skakal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 1.80 / Skakal 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skakal)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13099011
Sychra1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 249 of 418
Up 2–0, closes it93% 113 of 121
Up 1–0, closes it80% 176 of 219
Skakal1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 24 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back32% 11 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSychra3wins
AwaySkakal6wins
3 of 9 to a deciderSkakal leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra75%3 of 4
AwaySkakal100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra4Skakal5n = 9Skakal took 5 of 9
S2Sychra3Skakal6n = 9Skakal took 6 of 9
S3Sychra5Skakal4n = 9Sychra took 5 of 9
S4Sychra3Skakal3n = 6split evenly
S5Sychra1Skakal2n = 3Skakal took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSychraSkakalSychra − SkakalBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match38.341.2−2.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraSkakalBasisWin rate · lifetime799 / 1517 vs 74 / 14352.7%51.8%799 / 1517 vs 74 / 143Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalSychra 1.80/Skakal 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LMay 24 · 01:30M. Sychra—1011461M. Skakal—12911113
LMay 23 · 21:30M. Sychra—671551M. Skakal—111113113
LMay 23 · 18:30M. Sychra—1110911102M. Skakal—912116123
WMay 19 · 01:30M. Sychra—1116143M. Skakal—814120
LMay 10 · 23:30M. Sychra—1091191M. Skakal—12117113
WMay 10 · 18:00M. Sychra—1112113M. Skakal—91080
WApr 26 · 02:00M. Sychra—117611113M. Skakal—91111792
LMar 30 · 24:30M. Sychra—99111282M. Skakal—1111710113
LMar 10 · 01:30M. Sychra—8850M. Skakal—1111113
M. Sychra10
LSep 10 · 01:30J. Tazler2.0061111113M. Sychra1.73112321LSep 9 · 23:00M. Regner1.911115113M. Sychra1.8081390LSep 9 · 20:58R. Rose2.63111157113M. Sychra1.4484111152LSep 9 · 20:30J. Louda1.5313911113M. Sychra2.381111691WSep 9 · 19:30M. Sychra1.44111116113R. Rose2.639131491LSep 9 · 18:30M. Vondrak1.5711117113M. Sychra2.25971131LSep 8 · 12:59R. Urbaniec1.28911118113M. Sychra3.5011561172LSep 8 · 12:30R. Urbaniec1.3611812113M. Sychra3.009111031LSep 8 · 11:30M. Sychra2.751460J. Ruzicka1.401111113LSep 8 · 10:30F. Pusch1.5011811113M. Sychra2.50811531
M. Skakal10
WSep 10 · 01:00M. Skakal2.0011115113M. Pikous1.73791161WSep 9 · 22:30J. Tazler1.9110812101M. Skakal1.80121110123LSep 9 · 21:30M. Skakal1.72411110J. Tazler2.001113133WSep 9 · 20:30M. Skakal2.1071111113M. Klement1.67115791WSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal1.731111113J. Tazler2.008590WSep 9 · 18:00D. Hofman2.0011118342M. Skakal1.73561111113LAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda1.6511116113M. Skakal2.10691161LAug 31 · 02:30M. Skakal2.1071260V. Vejvoda1.671114113WAug 31 · 01:30M. Sobisek2.1011881182M. Skakal1.67811117113WAug 31 · 24:00M. Skakal1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.007450
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