TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13106588
Played Sep 10Finished
Martin Skakal
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119511116––
Marcel Pikous
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:46 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Skakal to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Skakal above · Marcel Pikous below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Martin Skakal at 56.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Martin Skakal 1–3 Marcel Pikous Martin Skakal has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:46What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pikous
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Pikous
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skakal 1697 vs Pikous 1645
Skakal
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skakal 60% vs Pikous 40%
Skakal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skakal 60% vs Pikous 40%
Skakal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skakal -1 · Pikous -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skakal) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pikous form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkakal 2.00 / Pikous 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skakal)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13106588
Skakal2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 24 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back32% 11 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Pikous1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 113 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it89% 54 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it76% 78 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSkakal1wins
AwayPikous3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderPikous leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skakal2Pikous2n = 4split evenly
S2Skakal1Pikous3n = 4Pikous took 3 of 4
S3Skakal1Pikous3n = 4Pikous took 3 of 4
S4Skakal2Pikous2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSkakalPikousS − PBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match35.541.5−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkakalPikousBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 144 vs 366 / 69451.4%52.7%74 / 144 vs 366 / 694Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalSkakal 2.00/Pikous 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skakal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 23 · 01:00M. Skakal—361111113M. Pikous—11115272
LMay 23 · 23:00M. Skakal—11731182M. Pikous—911115113
LMay 15 · 03:00M. Skakal—117181M. Pikous—91111113
LMay 14 · 23:30M. Skakal—611791M. Pikous—11811113
M. Skakal10
LSep 10 · 24:00M. Sychra1.801114113M. Skakal1.9161270WSep 9 · 22:30J. Tazler1.9110812101M. Skakal1.80121110123LSep 9 · 21:30M. Skakal1.72411110J. Tazler2.001113133WSep 9 · 20:30M. Skakal2.1071111113M. Klement1.67115791WSep 9 · 19:00M. Skakal1.731111113J. Tazler2.008590WSep 9 · 18:00D. Hofman2.0011118342M. Skakal1.73561111113LAug 31 · 03:30V. Vejvoda1.6511116113M. Skakal2.10691161LAug 31 · 02:30M. Skakal2.1071260V. Vejvoda1.671114113WAug 31 · 01:30M. Sobisek2.1011881182M. Skakal1.67811117113WAug 31 · 24:00M. Skakal1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.007450
M. Pikous10
LSep 9 · 23:30M. Pikous1.779990J. Tazler1.931111113WSep 9 · 22:00M. Pikous1.821311113M. Regner1.8811790WSep 9 · 21:00D. Tuma2.2551530M. Pikous1.571117113LSep 9 · 20:00M. Pikous2.008111191M. Bittner1.7311913113LSep 9 · 19:30J. Stolfa3.0011512113M. Pikous1.367111071LSep 9 · 18:00M. Pikous1.3699111182D. Tuma3.00111155113LSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841LSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890
Upcoming Matches
M. Skakal
Nothing scheduled
M. Pikous
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.