TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098205
Played Sep 9Finished
Marcel Pikous
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911911115115811
Daniel Tuma
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:29 and never touched — 64.2% is still 64.2%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
64.2%
64.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Pikous above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 64.2%
91 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:29What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Pikous
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pikous 1658 vs Tuma 1653
Pikous
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pikous 40% vs Tuma 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pikous 50% vs Tuma 70%
Tuma
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pikous -1 · Tuma -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pikous) · live re-read · sealed at 36% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pikous form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPikous 1.36 / Tuma 3.00
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Pikous)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13098205
Pikous1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 113 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it89% 54 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it76% 78 of 103
Tuma3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 173 of 374
Down 0–1, comes back28% 55 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPikousTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 697 vs 771 / 146952.7%52.5%367 / 697 vs 771 / 1469Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PikousPikous 1.36/Tuma 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66%
Pikous · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tuma won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Pikous10
LSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841LSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113LSep 6 · 02:00J. Tazler2.759111011143M. Pikous1.40118129122LSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680WSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113WSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113
D. Tuma10
LSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma2.105960A. Hlawatschke1.671111113LSep 9 · 02:30M. Sopko1.441111113D. Tuma2.636960WSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113WSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952LSep 8 · 22:00D. Tuma1.80631581M. Sobisek1.91111113113WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271
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