TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092597
Played Sep 8Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6113111513811––
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:26 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 54.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 52–36 Martin Sobisek Martin Sobisek has won 36 of their 88 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 12:26What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Tuma
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-36 in 88
Tuma
Wrong
gap of 16 in 88, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1682 vs Sobisek 1599
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 100% vs Sobisek 60%
Tuma
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 90% vs Sobisek 60%
Tuma
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +5 · Sobisek +1
Tuma
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Tuma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.80 / Sobisek 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Tuma)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092597
Tuma1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 144 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it78% 110 of 142
Sobisek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 140 of 362
Down 0–1, comes back25% 51 of 207
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma4wins
AwaySobisek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma50%3 of 6
AwaySobisek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma6Sobisek4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S2Tuma4Sobisek6n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S3Tuma5Sobisek5n = 10split evenly
S4Tuma2Sobisek4n = 6Sobisek took 4 of 6
S5Tuma2Sobisek3n = 5Sobisek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaSobisekT − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.538.3−1.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime773 / 1473 vs 548 / 117352.5%46.7%773 / 1473 vs 548 / 1173Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.80/Sobisek 1.91
Miss
What we said
54.7%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 10:30D. Tuma—10760M. Sobisek—1211113
LAug 19 · 07:30D. Tuma—12411972M. Sobisek—1011711113
LAug 17 · 10:30D. Tuma—11781252M. Sobisek—4111110113
LAug 17 · 07:30D. Tuma—8860M. Sobisek—1111113
WAug 15 · 24:00D. Tuma—911115113M. Sobisek—11571162
WAug 14 · 24:00D. Tuma—111199113M. Sobisek—89111192
LAug 10 · 23:30D. Tuma—68121152M. Sobisek—1111107113
LAug 2 · 12:58D. Tuma—116621M. Sobisek—31111113
WAug 2 · 11:00D. Tuma—1111113M. Sobisek—3580
WJul 28 · 13:30D. Tuma—1311123M. Sobisek—118100
D. Tuma10
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492WSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152
M. Sobisek10
WSep 8 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.801111113M. Sopko1.918890WSep 8 · 17:29M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507650LSep 8 · 16:30J. Stolfa1.611114133M. Sobisek2.20812110WSep 8 · 15:30M. Sobisek1.611111123V. Cermak2.2075100WSep 8 · 14:30M. Vedmoch2.20912120M. Sobisek1.611114143LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112
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