TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091780
Played Sep 8Finished
Michal Vedmoch
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
91112141214––––
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:17 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 72 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 60.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 0–1 Martin Sobisek Michal Vedmoch has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:17What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sobisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1622 vs Sobisek 1545
Vedmoch
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 40% vs Sobisek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 60% vs Sobisek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch -1 · Sobisek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sobisek) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 2.20 / Sobisek 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Vedmoch)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091780
Vedmoch2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 122 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back21% 28 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 80
Sobisek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 107 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it98% 59 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it78% 78 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVedmoch0wins
AwaySobisek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSobisek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVedmochSobisekV − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match47.052.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime707 / 1314 vs 548 / 117753.8%46.6%707 / 1314 vs 548 / 1177Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekVedmoch 2.20/Sobisek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 28 · 11:30M. Vedmoch—97131172M. Sobisek—1111118113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 8 · 15:00J. Stolfa2.008870M. Vedmoch1.731111113LSep 7 · 21:30J. Hradecky1.4011137123M. Vedmoch2.7571111101WSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113WSep 7 · 19:00L. Krticka2.10111180M. Vedmoch1.671313113LSep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.2011990J. Hradecky1.611311113LSep 7 · 17:30M. Vedmoch1.7721111101M. Sedlak1.9311513123WSep 7 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.8311811143M. Sedlak1.838118121LSep 7 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0012911113M. Vedmoch1.731011551WSep 7 · 14:00M. Vedmoch2.251111113R. Pavelka1.579450WSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113
M. Sobisek10
WSep 8 · 15:30M. Sobisek1.611111123V. Cermak2.2075100LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123WSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Vedmoch
Sep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53V. Postelt2.38—Sep 8 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.44J. Trefny2.63—Sep 9 · 01:00M. Vedmoch2.10R. Pavelka1.67—Sep 9 · 02:30M. Vedmoch1.73R. Krejci2.00—Sep 9 · 14:00M. Vedmoch3.00J. Hradecky1.36—Sep 9 · 15:30M. Vedmoch1.91M. Sedlak1.80—Sep 9 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.73J. Stolfa2.00—Sep 9 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.20D. Kouble1.61—Sep 9 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.73R. Krejci2.00—Sep 10 · 01:00M. Vedmoch2.00A. Hlawatschke1.73—
M. Sobisek
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