TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13094893
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11713117111210––
Michal Vedmoch
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 82 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 2–0 Michal Vedmoch Michal Vedmoch has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Hradecky beat Vedmoch 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:56What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hradecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1632 vs Vedmoch 1622
Hradecky
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 80% vs Vedmoch 60%
Hradecky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 50% vs Vedmoch 70%
Vedmoch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky +4 · Vedmoch +2
Hradecky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Hradecky) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 1.40 / Vedmoch 2.75
Signal prob.64% / 37%
Edge (Hradecky)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13094893
Hradecky1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 83 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it77% 57 of 74
Vedmoch2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 120 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back21% 28 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHradecky2wins
AwayVedmoch0wins
Hradecky leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHradeckyVedmochH − VBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.034.0+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckyVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 480 vs 707 / 131452.5%53.8%252 / 480 vs 707 / 1314Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyHradecky 1.40/Vedmoch 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.5%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 7 · 21:30J. Hradecky—11137123M. Vedmoch—71111101
WSep 7 · 18:30J. Hradecky—1311113M. Vedmoch—11990
J. Hradecky10
WSep 7 · 20:30L. Krticka2.503430J. Hradecky1.501111113WSep 7 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.3331111113T. Janata3.25117851WSep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.2011990J. Hradecky1.611311113WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky1.67114961M. Sobisek2.1051111113LSep 1 · 23:00J. Hradecky2.75119671J. Tazler1.4071111113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113WSep 7 · 19:00L. Krticka2.10111180M. Vedmoch1.671313113LSep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.2011990J. Hradecky1.611311113LSep 7 · 17:30M. Vedmoch1.7721111101M. Sedlak1.9311513123WSep 7 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.8311811143M. Sedlak1.838118121LSep 7 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0012911113M. Vedmoch1.731011551WSep 7 · 14:00M. Vedmoch2.251111113R. Pavelka1.579450WSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 4 · 02:30J. Dedek2.385650M. Vedmoch1.531111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Plachy2.20411681M. Vedmoch1.6111611113
Upcoming Matches
J. Hradecky
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M. Vedmoch
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