TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092880
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811711––––
Michal Vedmoch
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 54.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 7–10 Michal Vedmoch Jakub Stolfa has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:38What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vedmoch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Vedmoch
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1565 vs Vedmoch 1605
Vedmoch
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 20% vs Vedmoch 40%
Vedmoch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 30% vs Vedmoch 50%
Vedmoch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa -4 · Vedmoch -2
Stolfa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vedmoch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 2.00 / Vedmoch 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Vedmoch)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092880
Stolfa2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog55% won 61 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back39% 25 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Vedmoch1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 206 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it96% 104 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it80% 159 of 198
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStolfa3wins
AwayVedmoch7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVedmoch75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa2Vedmoch8n = 10Vedmoch took 8 of 10
S2Stolfa2Vedmoch8n = 10Vedmoch took 8 of 10
S3Stolfa4Vedmoch6n = 10Vedmoch took 6 of 10
S4Stolfa4Vedmoch2n = 6Stolfa took 4 of 6
S5Stolfa2Vedmoch2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricStolfaVedmochS − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.440.0−3.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 341 vs 706 / 131251.6%53.8%176 / 341 vs 706 / 1312Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochStolfa 2.00/Vedmoch 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 18 · 19:00J. Stolfa—11791692M. Vedmoch—7111114113
LJul 18 · 13:00J. Stolfa—7790M. Vedmoch—1111113
LJul 18 · 11:00J. Stolfa—10980M. Vedmoch—1211113
LJul 16 · 08:00J. Stolfa—59111172M. Vedmoch—111189113
WJul 3 · 12:00J. Stolfa—61111113M. Vedmoch—119661
LJul 3 · 08:00J. Stolfa—8101151M. Vedmoch—11129113
WJul 1 · 13:30J. Stolfa—118117113M. Vedmoch—91161172
WJul 1 · 12:30J. Stolfa—611311113M. Vedmoch—11411582
LJul 1 · 07:30J. Stolfa—811100M. Vedmoch—1113123
LJun 29 · 19:30J. Stolfa—91170M. Vedmoch—1113113
J. Stolfa10
LSep 8 · 14:00V. Cermak1.61511611113J. Stolfa2.2011311562LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:00J. Stolfa3.4061111782M. Pikous1.30117911113WSep 4 · 08:58D. Hofman1.4012115992J. Stolfa2.751091111113
M. Vedmoch10
LSep 8 · 14:30M. Vedmoch2.20912120M. Sobisek1.611114143LSep 7 · 21:30J. Hradecky1.4011137123M. Vedmoch2.7571111101WSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113WSep 7 · 19:00L. Krticka2.10111180M. Vedmoch1.671313113LSep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.2011990J. Hradecky1.611311113LSep 7 · 17:30M. Vedmoch1.7721111101M. Sedlak1.9311513123WSep 7 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.8311811143M. Sedlak1.838118121LSep 7 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0012911113M. Vedmoch1.731011551WSep 7 · 14:00M. Vedmoch2.251111113R. Pavelka1.579450WSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Stolfa
M. Vedmoch
Sep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53V. Postelt2.38—Sep 8 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.44J. Trefny2.63—Sep 9 · 01:00M. Vedmoch2.10R. Pavelka1.67—Sep 9 · 02:30M. Vedmoch1.73R. Krejci2.00—Sep 9 · 14:00M. Vedmoch3.00J. Hradecky1.36—Sep 9 · 15:30M. Vedmoch1.91M. Sedlak1.80—Sep 9 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.73J. Stolfa2.00—Sep 9 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.20D. Kouble1.61—Sep 9 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.73R. Krejci2.00—Sep 10 · 01:00M. Vedmoch2.00A. Hlawatschke1.73—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.