TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092896
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11814121311––––
Martin Sobisek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Stolfa to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 69 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Jakub Stolfa at 59.3%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 12–4 Martin Sobisek Martin Sobisek has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:39What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Stolfa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Stolfa
Correct
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1553 vs Sobisek 1576
Sobisek
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 0% vs Sobisek 60%
Sobisek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 20% vs Sobisek 60%
Sobisek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa -5 · Sobisek +2
Stolfa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Stolfa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobisek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 1.61 / Sobisek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Stolfa)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092896
Stolfa1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 80 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it80% 53 of 66
Sobisek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 140 of 362
Down 0–1, comes back25% 51 of 207
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStolfa7wins
AwaySobisek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStolfa leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfa80%4 of 5
AwaySobisek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa5Sobisek5n = 10split evenly
S2Stolfa7Sobisek3n = 10Stolfa took 7 of 10
S3Stolfa6Sobisek4n = 10Stolfa took 6 of 10
S4Stolfa7Sobisek2n = 9Stolfa took 7 of 9
S5Stolfa1Sobisek2n = 3Sobisek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStolfaSobisekStolfa − SobisekBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.538.0+2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 342 vs 547 / 117151.5%46.7%176 / 342 vs 547 / 1171Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaStolfa 1.61/Sobisek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa—51291152M. Sobisek—1110119113
WSep 3 · 14:30J. Stolfa—101111113M. Sobisek—120651
WSep 3 · 12:30J. Stolfa—1111113M. Sobisek—9680
WAug 25 · 20:00J. Stolfa—15117133M. Sobisek—13911111
WAug 21 · 14:30J. Stolfa—11311113M. Sobisek—911491
LAug 21 · 10:00J. Stolfa—651141M. Sobisek—11118113
WAug 19 · 13:30J. Stolfa—71111113M. Sobisek—116581
WAug 19 · 11:00J. Stolfa—1112711113M. Sobisek—81411972
LAug 19 · 06:30J. Stolfa—111110652M. Sobisek—651211113
WAug 17 · 12:30J. Stolfa—81311123M. Sobisek—11118101
J. Stolfa10
LSep 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa2.25111111342M. Vedmoch1.57132811113LSep 8 · 15:00J. Stolfa2.008870M. Vedmoch1.731111113LSep 8 · 14:00V. Cermak1.61511611113J. Stolfa2.2011311562LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192
M. Sobisek10
WSep 8 · 17:29M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507650WSep 8 · 15:30M. Sobisek1.611111123V. Cermak2.2075100WSep 8 · 14:30M. Vedmoch2.20912120M. Sobisek1.611114143LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113
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