TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092969
Played Sep 8Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118119––––
Martin Sopko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Martin Sopko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 22–12 Martin Sopko Martin Sopko has won 12 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sobisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-12 in 34
Sobisek
Correct
gap of 10 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1628 vs Sopko 1608
Sobisek
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 80% vs Sopko 40%
Sobisek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 60% vs Sopko 40%
Sobisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek +2 · Sopko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sobisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sopko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 1.80 / Sopko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sobisek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092969
Sobisek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 107 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it98% 59 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it78% 78 of 100
Sopko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 35 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back36% 16 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobisek7wins
AwaySopko3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobisek83.3%5 of 6
AwaySopko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobisek6Sopko4n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S2Sobisek7Sopko3n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S3Sobisek6Sopko4n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S4Sobisek4Sopko1n = 5Sobisek took 4 of 5
S5Sobisek2Sopko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobisekSopkoSobisek − SopkoBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.133.1+6.0per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekSopkoBasisWin rate · lifetime549 / 1174 vs 163 / 35246.8%46.3%549 / 1174 vs 163 / 352Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekSobisek 1.80/Sopko 1.91
Hit
What we said
54%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 23:00M. Sobisek—1111113M. Sopko—8890
WAug 27 · 01:00M. Sobisek—911911113M. Sopko—11811692
WJun 7 · 19:30M. Sobisek—911611113M. Sopko—11211662
WJun 6 · 02:00M. Sobisek—1111113M. Sopko—9550
LJun 5 · 20:30M. Sobisek—91111992M. Sopko—116311113
WMay 28 · 23:30M. Sobisek—13611113M. Sopko—1111481
WMay 21 · 03:30M. Sobisek—1116113M. Sopko—61480
LMay 20 · 22:30M. Sobisek—7960M. Sopko—1111113
LApr 26 · 14:30M. Sobisek—11661192M. Sopko—711119113
WApr 26 · 10:30M. Sobisek—1111113M. Sopko—7940
M. Sobisek10
WSep 8 · 22:00D. Tuma1.80631581M. Sobisek1.91111113113WSep 8 · 17:29M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507650LSep 8 · 16:30J. Stolfa1.611114133M. Sobisek2.20812110WSep 8 · 15:30M. Sobisek1.611111123V. Cermak2.2075100WSep 8 · 14:30M. Vedmoch2.20912120M. Sobisek1.611114143LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113
M. Sopko10
WSep 9 · 24:00M. Sopko1.331111113A. Hlawatschke3.256760WAug 27 · 03:00V. Cermak1.5246120M. Sopko2.351111143LAug 27 · 02:30J. Hradecky2.50111159113M. Sopko1.5085111162LAug 27 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.67911911113M. Sopko2.1011811692LAug 26 · 23:30M. Sopko2.108360V. Cermak1.671111113WAug 26 · 22:00M. Sopko2.63541111113M. Regner1.4411115732LAug 23 · 20:58M. Sopko2.0011139792R. Pacha1.735111111113LAug 23 · 20:30M. Wagner1.501111173M. Sopko2.5096150LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sopko1.8395110M. Skakal1.831111133WAug 23 · 18:30R. Pacha1.449940M. Sopko2.631111113
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