TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092918
Played Sep 9Finished
Martin Sopko
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117116––––
Ales Hlawatschke
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:41 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Sopko to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sopko above · Ales Hlawatschke below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Martin Sopko at 68.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sopko 4–0 Ales Hlawatschke Ales Hlawatschke has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:41What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Sopko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Sopko
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sopko 1595 vs Hlawatschke 1606
Hlawatschke
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sopko 20% vs Hlawatschke 100%
Hlawatschke
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sopko 30% vs Hlawatschke 90%
Hlawatschke
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sopko -1 · Hlawatschke +5
Hlawatschke
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Sopko) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hlawatschke form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSopko 1.33 / Hlawatschke 3.25
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Sopko)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13092918
Sopko1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 38 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Hlawatschke3.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 13 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSopko4wins
AwayHlawatschke0wins
Sopko leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSopko100%3 of 3
AwayHlawatschken = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sopko3Hlawatschke1n = 4Sopko took 3 of 4
S2Sopko4Hlawatschke0n = 4Sopko took 4 of 4
S3Sopko4Hlawatschke0n = 4Sopko took 4 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home375%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSopkoHlawatschkeS − HBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match34.525.8+8.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSopkoHlawatschkeBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 352 vs 109 / 21346.3%51.2%163 / 352 vs 109 / 213Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopkoSopko 1.33/Hlawatschke 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Sopko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sopko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WApr 1 · 02:30M. Sopko—1111113A. Hlawatschke—9860
WDec 16 · 02:00M. Sopko—1111113A. Hlawatschke—9770
WOct 21 · 03:00M. Sopko—51111113A. Hlawatschke—119861
WOct 21 · 02:30M. Sopko—1211113A. Hlawatschke—10940
M. Sopko10
LSep 8 · 23:00M. Sobisek1.801111113M. Sopko1.918890WAug 27 · 03:00V. Cermak1.5246120M. Sopko2.351111143LAug 27 · 02:30J. Hradecky2.50111159113M. Sopko1.5085111162LAug 27 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.67911911113M. Sopko2.1011811692LAug 26 · 23:30M. Sopko2.108360V. Cermak1.671111113WAug 26 · 22:00M. Sopko2.63541111113M. Regner1.4411115732LAug 23 · 20:58M. Sopko2.0011139792R. Pacha1.735111111113LAug 23 · 20:30M. Wagner1.501111173M. Sopko2.5096150LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sopko1.8395110M. Skakal1.831111133WAug 23 · 18:30R. Pacha1.449940M. Sopko2.631111113
A. Hlawatschke10
LSep 9 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke1.6795111552D. Tuma2.101111713113WSep 8 · 22:30V. Cermak2.631011111262A. Hlawatschke1.441213810113WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113WAug 18 · 03:28T. Janata1.539711111A. Hlawatschke2.3811117133WAug 18 · 02:30A. Hlawatschke1.501111133M. Nohejl2.5096110LAug 18 · 01:30M. Vesely1.91913148113A. Hlawatschke1.801111121192
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