TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092758
Played Sep 8Finished
Vladimir Cermak
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
101211131181210611
Ales Hlawatschke
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 84.6% is still 84.6%
Graded at full timeAles Hlawatschke to win
84.6%
84.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Ales Hlawatschke below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 104 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Ales Hlawatschke at 84.6%
104 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 1–15 Ales Hlawatschke Vladimir Cermak has won 1 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:57What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hlawatschke
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-15 in 16
Hlawatschke
Correct
gap of 14 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cermak 1536 vs Hlawatschke 1598
Hlawatschke
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cermak 40% vs Hlawatschke 100%
Hlawatschke
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cermak 50% vs Hlawatschke 80%
Hlawatschke
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cermak -1 · Hlawatschke +5
Hlawatschke
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Hlawatschke) · live re-read · sealed at 85% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hlawatschke form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 2.63 / Hlawatschke 1.44
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Hlawatschke)+6.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092758
Cermak2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 88 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back26% 29 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 65
Hlawatschke1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 12 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it46% 5 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCermak1wins
AwayHlawatschke9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHlawatschke leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCermakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHlawatschke88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cermak1Hlawatschke9n = 10Hlawatschke took 9 of 10
S2Cermak3Hlawatschke7n = 10Hlawatschke took 7 of 10
S3Cermak3Hlawatschke7n = 10Hlawatschke took 7 of 10
S4Cermak1Hlawatschke4n = 5Hlawatschke took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricCermakHlawatschkeC − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match26.837.3−10.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakHlawatschkeBasisWin rate · lifetime545 / 1064 vs 108 / 21251.2%50.9%545 / 1064 vs 108 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlawatschkeCermak 2.63/Hlawatschke 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.8%
Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hlawatschke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 18 · 03:00V. Cermak—841171A. Hlawatschke—11117113
LFeb 5 · 24:30V. Cermak—6280A. Hlawatschke—1111113
LJan 7 · 02:00V. Cermak—711361A. Hlawatschke—11911113
LDec 10 · 10:30V. Cermak—3740A. Hlawatschke—1111113
LDec 10 · 09:00V. Cermak—10580A. Hlawatschke—1211113
LOct 29 · 24:00V. Cermak—10128111A. Hlawatschke—121011133
WOct 17 · 01:30V. Cermak—91111113A. Hlawatschke—119831
LOct 15 · 01:30V. Cermak—12811722A. Hlawatschke—1011511113
LOct 8 · 02:30V. Cermak—9170A. Hlawatschke—1111113
LSep 30 · 03:00V. Cermak—3870A. Hlawatschke—1111113
V. Cermak10
LSep 8 · 23:30D. Tuma2.10115911113V. Cermak1.6781111952LSep 8 · 17:29M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507650WSep 8 · 16:00V. Cermak1.4011911113M. Vedmoch2.75911721LSep 8 · 15:30M. Sobisek1.611111123V. Cermak2.2075100WSep 8 · 14:00V. Cermak1.61511611113J. Stolfa2.2011311562LSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101LSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113
A. Hlawatschke10
LSep 9 · 24:00M. Sopko1.331111113A. Hlawatschke3.256760WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113WAug 18 · 03:28T. Janata1.539711111A. Hlawatschke2.3811117133WAug 18 · 02:30A. Hlawatschke1.501111133M. Nohejl2.5096110LAug 18 · 01:30M. Vesely1.91913148113A. Hlawatschke1.801111121192WAug 18 · 24:00A. Hlawatschke1.3371111123R. Krejci3.251169101
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