TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092909
Played Sep 8Finished
Vladimir Cermak
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911117112––
Michal Vedmoch
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeVladimir Cermak to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Cermak above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 71 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Vladimir Cermak at 63.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Cermak 8–5 Michal Vedmoch Michal Vedmoch has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:39What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Cermak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Cermak
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cermak 1546 vs Vedmoch 1618
Vedmoch
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cermak 40% vs Vedmoch 60%
Vedmoch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cermak 50% vs Vedmoch 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cermak -1 · Vedmoch +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Cermak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCermak 1.40 / Vedmoch 2.75
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Vedmoch)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092909
Cermak1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 150 of 254
Up 2–0, closes it91% 77 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it78% 120 of 153
Vedmoch2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 122 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back21% 28 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCermak6wins
AwayVedmoch4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCermak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCermak66.7%2 of 3
AwayVedmoch42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cermak3Vedmoch7n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S2Cermak7Vedmoch3n = 10Cermak took 7 of 10
S3Cermak5Vedmoch5n = 10split evenly
S4Cermak4Vedmoch4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCermakVedmochC − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.435.6+1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCermakVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime544 / 1062 vs 707 / 131351.2%53.9%544 / 1062 vs 707 / 1313Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CermakCermak 1.40/Vedmoch 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.9%
Cermak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cermak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 28 · 06:30V. Cermak—1211113M. Vedmoch—10840
WMay 20 · 06:00V. Cermak—911115113M. Vedmoch—11331182
WMay 18 · 12:00V. Cermak—11117133M. Vedmoch—5311111
LMay 11 · 06:30V. Cermak—912941M. Vedmoch—111011113
LApr 26 · 23:00V. Cermak—891181M. Vedmoch—11114113
WApr 21 · 20:30V. Cermak—81111113M. Vedmoch—119181
LJan 27 · 13:30V. Cermak—11136101M. Vedmoch—71511123
LJan 22 · 23:00V. Cermak—6270M. Vedmoch—1111113
WJan 15 · 01:00V. Cermak—1012411113M. Vedmoch—121011682
WJan 12 · 14:30V. Cermak—41111113M. Vedmoch—119771
V. Cermak10
LSep 8 · 17:29M. Sobisek1.501111113V. Cermak2.507650LSep 8 · 15:30M. Sobisek1.611111123V. Cermak2.2075100WSep 8 · 14:00V. Cermak1.61511611113J. Stolfa2.2011311562LSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101LSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa2.25111111342M. Vedmoch1.57132811113WSep 8 · 15:00J. Stolfa2.008870M. Vedmoch1.731111113LSep 8 · 14:30M. Vedmoch2.20912120M. Sobisek1.611114143LSep 7 · 21:30J. Hradecky1.4011137123M. Vedmoch2.7571111101WSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113WSep 7 · 19:00L. Krticka2.10111180M. Vedmoch1.671313113LSep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.2011990J. Hradecky1.611311113LSep 7 · 17:30M. Vedmoch1.7721111101M. Sedlak1.9311513123WSep 7 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.8311811143M. Sedlak1.838118121LSep 7 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0012911113M. Vedmoch1.731011551
Upcoming Matches
V. Cermak
M. Vedmoch
Sep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53V. Postelt2.38—Sep 8 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.44J. Trefny2.63—Sep 9 · 01:00M. Vedmoch2.10R. Pavelka1.67—Sep 9 · 02:30M. Vedmoch1.83R. Krejci1.83—Sep 9 · 14:00M. Vedmoch3.00J. Hradecky1.36—Sep 9 · 15:30M. Vedmoch1.91M. Sedlak1.80—Sep 9 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.73J. Stolfa2.00—Sep 9 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.20D. Kouble1.61—Sep 9 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.73R. Krejci2.00—Sep 10 · 01:00M. Vedmoch2.00A. Hlawatschke1.73—
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