TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12476298
Played Aug 23Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191161715––––
Martin Sopko
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sopko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Martin Sopko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 17-15
Point 69 set 3, 17-15 — our read held Martin Sopko at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Mark Robin Wagner 3–0 Martin Sopko Martin Sopko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:10What took a side0 for · 6 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Wagner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Wagner
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1701 vs Sopko 1658
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 100% vs Sopko 40%
Wagner
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 80% vs Sopko 60%
Wagner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner +5 · Sopko -1
Wagner
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.50 / Sopko 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Wagner)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12476298
Wagner1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 37 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it81% 25 of 31
Sopko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 35 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back36% 16 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWagner3wins
AwaySopko0wins
Wagner leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner1Sopko2n = 3Sopko took 2 of 3
S2Wagner3Sopko0n = 3Wagner took 3 of 3
S3Wagner2Sopko1n = 3Wagner took 2 of 3
S4Wagner3Sopko0n = 3Wagner took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home3100%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricWagnerSopkoW − SBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match42.731.0+11.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerSopkoBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 116 vs 161 / 34854.3%46.3%63 / 116 vs 161 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.50/Sopko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 23 · 15:00M. Wagner—91311113M. Sopko—1111871
WJul 23 · 01:30M. Wagner—81111113M. Sopko—116251
WJul 22 · 18:30M. Wagner—11119123M. Sopko—4711101
M. Wagner10
LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner1.7310101112123P. Saleny1.881212710102LSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner1.401381591P. Saleny2.75111117113LSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110WSep 6 · 07:00P. Saleny2.2081070M. Wagner1.611112113LSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113LSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880WSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123
M. Sopko10
WAug 27 · 03:00V. Cermak1.5246120M. Sopko2.351111143LAug 27 · 02:30J. Hradecky2.50111159113M. Sopko1.5085111162LAug 27 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.67911911113M. Sopko2.1011811692LAug 26 · 23:30M. Sopko2.108360V. Cermak1.671111113WAug 26 · 22:00M. Sopko2.63541111113M. Regner1.4411115732LAug 23 · 20:58M. Sopko2.0011139792R. Pacha1.735111111113LAug 23 · 19:30M. Sopko1.8395110M. Skakal1.831111133WAug 23 · 18:30R. Pacha1.449940M. Sopko2.631111113WAug 23 · 17:01M. Sopko1.8011711113M. Klement1.91811661LAug 23 · 16:30M. Sopko2.2091171222J. Louda1.611191110113
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